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Trump could not even win a debate vs a brick wall Clinton will kill him in the first debate and it will 101% over for Trump
You can argue about the figures, the 273 days since Hillary's last press conference (Has Hillary Clinton not had a press conference in 269 days? | PolitiFact), but what is clear is that Hillary cannot deal with tough questions - she simply avoids them. While I know that Matt Lauer is going to take it easy on his personal choice; Trump is not going to take it easy on Hillary. What is she going to do; say that she got a bump on her head and she doesn't remember? That only works sometimes and it doesn't win debates!
Location: In a little house on the prairie - literally
10,202 posts, read 7,922,771 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Tall Traveler
Right, much ado about absolutely nothing....you nailed it. Let's put it this way, if Trump were to win New York, then this would be a massive landslide election rivaling the 84 Reagan.
Trump is no Reagan. I would strongly suggest a Reagan would join other GOP presidential candidates in backing away from a Trump. Reagan attempted to bring people up, Trump does the opposite.
Trump is no Reagan. I would strongly suggest a Reagan would join other GOP presidential candidates in backing away from a Trump. Reagan attempted to bring people up, Trump does the opposite.
That tactic has been used by the nationalist wing of the conservative movement since the early Reagan days. And it has been successful since they eventually nominated Trump. There are three well divided political groups at this point in time in the US; socialists on the far left, best embodied by Sanders; radical nationalistic right wing embodied by Trump; and centrist Democrats and Republicans in the middle. Reagan was surely a centrist and as such he would have opposed Trump. As time goes on these groups have become more and more separated in their positions. Hard to say what it means for the long term viability of the traditional 2 party system.
This election will go down to the wire - especially with the October surprises in store for Clinton, like the recent extended FBI report on emails. Coming down to a decision between a dangerous deluded huckster and an untrustworthy bureaucrat. Unprecedented. My "prediction" (guess) is that Clinton will win, but not by the margin she is sporting today.
Most of the polls last week on this site Clinton min +4
New York Clinton +18 been like that a min of 10 weeks if you can not win your home state you have a major problem and it is not even close
UMMMMMM Is not Clinton technically a New Yorker, I seem to recall she held an elective office there once .
There was some pundit, I wish I could recall who and his exact quote, but it was something like that he expected a Clinton blow out and only planned to watch the results until New York;s came in. If Clinton won by more than 20, he would consider the election over, if less than +20, he would stay up all night knowing she could be in trouble.
I'm starting to think Hillary Clinton is a plant to secretly throw the election to Trump, he's practically the acting president and she can't even hold a press conference. You almost have to try to run a campaign this poorly.
No, it will turn out that HRC did not really want the job and will bow out with a good fraction of her war chest going to the Clinton foundation.
Trump is no Reagan. I would strongly suggest a Reagan would join other GOP presidential candidates in backing away from a Trump. Reagan attempted to bring people up, Trump does the opposite.
Trump may be no Reagan, but he is running against a Nixon.
All I ever hear is about perception is reality, what will happen when Trump takes the debate stage appearing 20 years younger than Hillary. Remember the 1960 debates.
Going from essentially a tie to +5 Trump isn't cause for Trump supporters to smile? And it's not just Iowa - it's the fact of Iowa being part of a larger trend. Two polls from Virginia have it essentially tied. Two polls for PA have it within 5. Marquette poll has Wisconsin at 3%. He's polling better in NC and AZ too. Combine all this with national polls having it essentially tied and it's clear to see Trump has the momentum. He's probably a good first debate away from taking a substantial lead.
Well lets be fair the Emerson Poll is junk. It weights by past voter id, only surveys landlines, and was created by an undergrad student. It's a bit early to starting adding it to the mix. Hampton University is good but remember that it had the race tied in July when other pollsters had Clinton up by 4 in VA.
Here in FL, seems like the Trump backers are more vocal. But there's a huge Hispanic population that might counter that. I can't really tell which way FL goes.
If it gets close then it will be hard to predict who will win it.
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