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Old 09-29-2016, 04:28 AM
 
52,431 posts, read 26,628,813 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Elliott_CA View Post
Sam Wang at Princeton Election Consortium does statistical analysis of state polls. His methods and results are highly regarded. Using 170 state polls, he currently has

Electoral college prediction: Clinton 303 Trump 235
Clinton Nov. win probability: 76% to 84%
Highly regarded?

Like Nate Silver, Wang said Trump had no chance at being nominated.


Donald Trump Is Not the Frontrunner. Smarter Polls Would Prove It

 
Old 09-29-2016, 05:04 AM
 
75 posts, read 41,798 times
Reputation: 31
Arrow TRUMP Officially Takes the Lead in the Latest UPI Electoral College Poll

For the first time this year, a major polling operation now says that Donald Trump has overtaken Hillary Clinton in the only race that matters – the Electoral College race.

The poll was conducted between Sept. 12 and 25th. It tracks 250 likely voters in each state every week. Results are tabulated every two weeks.

Trump tromps the ailing former Secretary of State by an Electoral College margin of 292 to 246 with 270 needed for victory.

Video Link: https://youtu.be/MSeMSOEz8EM
 
Old 09-29-2016, 05:27 AM
 
5,438 posts, read 5,944,684 times
Reputation: 1134
People hear the sound bites from the democrats' propaganda machine, the MSM, that Hillary won the hit job by NBC, which the liberals refer to as a debate; so the polling reflects this.

Last edited by scgraham; 09-29-2016 at 05:36 AM..
 
Old 09-29-2016, 05:32 AM
 
5,438 posts, read 5,944,684 times
Reputation: 1134
Quote:
Originally Posted by 2950 View Post
The election is quickly approaching and I can't see any conceivable way that Hillary loses. Relative to the last several previous elections, the polls should be much tighter at this point. Trump supporters have been reduced to chalking up Clinton's slight leads in certain polls as some sort of victory.
She has no enthusiastic voters. Who's gonna waste their time voting for her?
 
Old 09-29-2016, 05:33 AM
 
12,547 posts, read 9,936,246 times
Reputation: 6927
Two groups of people have now went through the LA Times/USC poll and Clinton doesn't appear to have gained anything. She's down ~4% which is the same as Sunday/Monday.
 
Old 09-29-2016, 05:51 AM
 
75 posts, read 41,798 times
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Complete shift in Nate Silver's 538 - Electoral map.

 
Old 09-29-2016, 05:54 AM
 
Location: Chicago, IL
1,988 posts, read 2,223,598 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by N M_156 View Post
Complete shift in Nate Silver's 538 - Electoral map.
That's old.
 
Old 09-29-2016, 06:11 AM
 
75 posts, read 41,798 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ace Rothstein View Post
That's old.
How old?... That's the real result... Mainstream Media is spinning the real poll results.
 
Old 09-29-2016, 06:14 AM
 
11,988 posts, read 5,294,358 times
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Current Nowcast: Clinton 68.8% Trump 31.1%

Polls only: Clinton 61.3% Trump 38.6%

Polls plus: Clinton 60.1% Trump 39.9%

Here's a link to 538 that shows new polls added by time stamp.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/...ecast/updates/
 
Old 09-29-2016, 06:20 AM
 
Location: Chicago, IL
1,988 posts, read 2,223,598 times
Reputation: 1536
Quote:
Originally Posted by N M_156 View Post
How old?... That's the real result... Mainstream Media is spinning the real poll results.
A few days. Trump got schlonged in the debate and new polls are reflecting that.
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