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it would be nice to say goodbye to stretchin' gretchen
Quote:
Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer, once considered a possible running mate for Joe Biden, is on the cusp of losing her job to Republican challenger Tudor Dixon.
"Whitmer is supported by 48.4 percent of voters, while Dixon has support from 47.9 percent. The bad news for Whitmer in this poll is that nearly 55 percent of respondents were Democrats, compared with just 37.1 percent of voters identifying as Republican."
The second of two debates between Governor Gretchen Whitmer and Tudor Dixon will take place tonight at Oakland University in Metro Detroit.
I've been hearing from those on the right side of the aisle that debates are important in that they can shift undecided voters. My guess is that the only undecided voters left in Michigan are those still trying to figure out which is the lesser of two evils.
As for the Trafalgar poll for the 2022 Governor's race, allow me to point out that back in 2020 Trafalgar forecast a Trump victory, showing Trump 46.5%, Biden 45.9%, Jorgenson 2.5%, "Someone else" or undecided 3.7%, and Hawkins 1.5%. The actual numbers were Trump 47.8%, Biden 50.6%, Jorgenson 1.1%, Hawkins 0.25%, Other 0.20%. In other words, a severe undercount for the Democratic candidate.
^I was just reading that too, in the latest poll done it looks like Whitmer is in the lead.
There has literally only been one statewide poll showing Dixon leading. Since Dixon has won the primary, it's gotten closer, but that is what happens when you know who the two candidates are.
Not really sure where they are getting that error rate of 5.1 from. RCP AVG for 2020 Biden had a +4.2 average according to this yet it shows Biden +7.2 on their projection page you linked for 2020. The error rate should be 1.4 for Biden in 2020.
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