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Old 04-24-2020, 04:58 PM
 
Location: Lone Mountain Las Vegas NV
18,058 posts, read 10,360,489 times
Reputation: 8828
I get a daily email from Sisolak with the latest Virus statistics. I presume any one can as I did nothing to get it except look at it.
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Old 04-24-2020, 05:11 PM
 
848 posts, read 648,616 times
Reputation: 672
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mikala43 View Post
US numbers mean the "US" total numbers.

As in how many cases we see, per day, for all the states combined........ US numbers.


For NV, new cases, daily count.

4/17 207
4/18 102
4/19 102
4/20 102
4/21 107
4/22 144
4/23 127
4/24 190

Thank you for the clarification.

You can also take that data and look at it as I have presented it below which could suggest a downward trend over the last couple of days. However, my biggest issue is that to my knowledge we do not know when the tests were administered. My understanding is that the data is based on the date reported, not the date tested. Regardless, I would still argue that the only relevant metric is hospital utilization by COVID-19 patients, which was the original reason for locking down society, and I have yet to see where the state or county is publishing real-time data for this. However, the Nevada Hospital Association confirmed Tuesday that the hospitalization curve had been flattened and cited all of the various categories they evaluated to make that determination.

Date New Cases New Tests Positive/New Tests %

4/17 207 1311 15.7%
4/18 102 989 10.3%
4/19 102 847 12.0%
4/20 102 749 13.6%
4/21 107 708 15.1%
4/22 144 833 17.2%
4/23 127 861 14.7%
4/24 190 1443 13.2%
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Old 04-24-2020, 05:13 PM
 
848 posts, read 648,616 times
Reputation: 672
Quote:
Originally Posted by lvmensch View Post
I get a daily email from Sisolak with the latest Virus statistics. I presume any one can as I did nothing to get it except look at it.

Is it the same information as that which is presented in the daily situation report?
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Old 04-24-2020, 05:25 PM
 
Location: Middle of the valley
48,534 posts, read 34,882,911 times
Reputation: 73802
Quote:
Originally Posted by ND_Irish View Post
Thank you for the clarification.

You can also take that data and look at it as I have presented it below which could suggest a downward trend over the last couple of days. However, my biggest issue is that to my knowledge we do not know when the tests were administered. My understanding is that the data is based on the date reported, not the date tested. Regardless, I would still argue that the only relevant metric is hospital utilization by COVID-19 patients, which was the original reason for locking down society, and I have yet to see where the state or county is publishing real-time data for this. However, the Nevada Hospital Association confirmed Tuesday that the hospitalization curve had been flattened and cited all of the various categories they evaluated to make that determination.

Date New Cases New Tests Positive/New Tests %

4/17 207 1311 15.7%
4/18 102 989 10.3%
4/19 102 847 12.0%
4/20 102 749 13.6%
4/21 107 708 15.1%
4/22 144 833 17.2%
4/23 127 861 14.7%
4/24 190 1443 13.2%

Anything above 10% indicates that more testing needs to be done. Below 10% means you are testing at a capacity that ensures your numbers are as accurate as possible. It's explained on fivethirtyeight, I don't have a link because I listened via podcast.

My concern is no so much NV as a state, but NV as a tourist destination, that complicates the situation for the locale. (explained in one of my first posts)

And back to the Federal guidelines that layout the plan to open starting with declining cases for X amount of days, which we have not accomplished.
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Old 04-24-2020, 05:51 PM
 
Location: Lone Mountain Las Vegas NV
18,058 posts, read 10,360,489 times
Reputation: 8828
Quote:
Originally Posted by ND_Irish View Post
Is it the same information as that which is presented in the daily situation report?
I think it is. Has a Sisolak cover page on it. But it is the standard three page thing.
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Old 04-24-2020, 06:09 PM
 
2,076 posts, read 4,075,236 times
Reputation: 2589
I agree that hospital utilization should be a key metric which perhaps we have already fulfilled. Looking at the last 7 days, the numbers kinda bounce around. Is everyone who needs a test getting one (not people who are non-symptomatic and just curious)? I don't even know if that is the case. Until that the case, we'll predominately have more or less cases based on our testing ability?

It seems like we'll never get to 14 days of declining cases at this rate.

Perhaps we have met some equilibrium where with social distancing in place we have the spread as it's showing in the stats?

Quote:
Originally Posted by ND_Irish View Post
Thank you for the clarification.

You can also take that data and look at it as I have presented it below which could suggest a downward trend over the last couple of days. However, my biggest issue is that to my knowledge we do not know when the tests were administered. My understanding is that the data is based on the date reported, not the date tested. Regardless, I would still argue that the only relevant metric is hospital utilization by COVID-19 patients, which was the original reason for locking down society, and I have yet to see where the state or county is publishing real-time data for this. However, the Nevada Hospital Association confirmed Tuesday that the hospitalization curve had been flattened and cited all of the various categories they evaluated to make that determination.

Date New Cases New Tests Positive/New Tests %

4/17 207 1311 15.7%
4/18 102 989 10.3%
4/19 102 847 12.0%
4/20 102 749 13.6%
4/21 107 708 15.1%
4/22 144 833 17.2%
4/23 127 861 14.7%
4/24 190 1443 13.2%
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Old 04-24-2020, 07:07 PM
 
7,142 posts, read 4,552,321 times
Reputation: 23382
For people that say only old or unhealthy people die from it are wrong. Tell that to the parents of a healthy 5 year old girl whose dad was a firefighter and mom a cop.
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Old 04-24-2020, 07:19 PM
 
Location: Middle of the valley
48,534 posts, read 34,882,911 times
Reputation: 73802
Quote:
Originally Posted by Teacher Terry View Post
For people that say only old or unhealthy people die from it are wrong. Tell that to the parents of a healthy 5 year old girl whose dad was a firefighter and mom a cop.


I think around 40% of the hospitalizations are under 55. Dying is bad, but so is 30K in hospital bills.
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Old 04-24-2020, 07:34 PM
 
7,142 posts, read 4,552,321 times
Reputation: 23382
M, it’s all bad but I would give up everything I own to save my child.
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Old 04-24-2020, 08:20 PM
 
Location: Southern Highlands
2,413 posts, read 2,032,119 times
Reputation: 2236
Quote:
Originally Posted by Teacher Terry View Post
For people that say only old or unhealthy people die from it are wrong. Tell that to the parents of a healthy 5 year old girl whose dad was a firefighter and mom a cop.
Nobody says that.
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