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Old 10-09-2022, 06:38 PM
 
Location: deafened by howls of 'racism!!!'
52,697 posts, read 34,555,075 times
Reputation: 29289

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that would be fantastic.

Quote:
RealClearPolitics predicted Democrats will lose their majority in the U.S. Senate next month, while Herschel Walker will lose his race to unseat incumbent Sen. Raphael Warnock (D-GA).

In its latest ‘Battle for the Senate’ projection map, the polling data aggregator predicted the GOP will flip Arizona and Nevada while it holds on to the seat being vacated in Pennsylvania by Sen. Pat Toomey (R-PA).
https://www.mediaite.com/politics/re...nate-majority/
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Old 10-09-2022, 08:56 PM
 
34,056 posts, read 17,071,203 times
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I agree that is likely. Pa is tightening largely over the crime issue. Nevada will certainly flip to the GOP.
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Old 10-09-2022, 09:22 PM
 
5,527 posts, read 3,253,078 times
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They are using some sort of weighting from previous elections that measures the difference between poll averages and election results.

I'm not sure how accurate that will be.
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Old 10-09-2022, 10:34 PM
 
Location: az
13,742 posts, read 7,999,139 times
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Yes, the Rep. will likely take control of the Senate.

Also Walker is still very much alive. He's within the margin of error. Turnout will determine the winner.
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Old 10-09-2022, 10:43 PM
 
Location: Arizona
6,104 posts, read 2,725,398 times
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As the saying goes it ain't over till the fat lady sings or till Trump or one of his candidates says something stupid.
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Old 10-09-2022, 10:57 PM
 
Location: West Palm Beach, FL
17,625 posts, read 6,911,503 times
Reputation: 16534
Quote:
Originally Posted by Goofball86 View Post
As the saying goes it ain't over till the fat lady sings or till Trump or one of his candidates says something stupid.
The Democrats are lucky. They can say stupid things all day long and their stupid voters don’t care.
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Old 10-09-2022, 11:14 PM
 
Location: Brackenwood
9,981 posts, read 5,681,961 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by john3232 View Post
Yes, the Rep. will likely take control of the Senate.

Also Walker is still very much alive. He's within the margin of error. Turnout will determine the winner.
If Walker wins, it will be on account of Kemp pulling him across the line. The more likely scenario is the abortion scandal ultimately does him in.

This should have been a walkover for the Georgia GOP but they nominated a weak candidate who may well prove to be the reason they didn't take the Senate. Well, that and their similarly weak candidate selection in PA.
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Old 10-09-2022, 11:17 PM
 
Location: az
13,742 posts, read 7,999,139 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bitey View Post
If Walker wins, it will be on account of Kemp pulling him across the line. The more likely scenario is the abortion scandal ultimately does him in.

This should have been a walkover for the Georgia GOP but they nominated a weak candidate who may well prove to be the reason they didn't take the Senate.
A win is a win and I'm sure Walker won't complain.
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Old 10-10-2022, 07:33 AM
 
Location: Atlanta metro (Cobb County)
3,162 posts, read 2,212,781 times
Reputation: 4225
If the Senate flips to Republican after the midterms, it won't switch back again for many years. In 2024 three seats are basically automatic Republican pickups, in West Virginia, Montana and Ohio. There is virtually no scenario where the incumbent Democrats (let alone new nominees for the party) can prevail in those states when Trump or his approved successor is defeating Biden by huge margins.
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Old 10-10-2022, 08:45 AM
 
13,601 posts, read 4,932,646 times
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All we can say for sure is that it will be close. Nevada or Pennsylvania wouldn't surprising me, but Arizona would.

Mark Kelly is a great candidate, the incumbent and I've not heard any concrete criticism of his performance. From the article:

"In Arizona, Republican Senate nominee Blake Masters actually trails by 4.1 points to incumbent Sen. Mark Kelly (D-AZ). Not a single one of the seven polls used for the average has the Republican leading. Still, RCP predicts the race as a GOP pick-up."
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