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Location: Chapel Hill, NC, formerly NoVA and Phila
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The NC DHHS site is now updating vaccination information Monday through Friday, and they have now included percentages vaccinated by county (hover over the map). So my work here is done.
I know someone that had it twice, I wonder if that gets counted as twice?
if it was two distinct infections, supposedly. There's a global tracker for it, there have been 47 people, 2 of whom have died (a 74 yr old and an 89 yr old)
since I haven't seen this mentioned yet, but do watch WRAL News in the morning (really WRAZ50) and have noticed the news reporting much higher death #'s than NCDHHS.
WRAL graph says: "New deaths reported, rolling average"
why the discrepancy? I wondered if WRAL was using JHU #'s, but their own dashboard says it's NCDHHS.
This morning (yesterday's #), WRAL: 91 deaths
NCDHHS for Feb 9: 1 death
Worldometers: 55 deaths. Now WRAL's "91 deaths" does match worldometers 91 seven day average.
But the actual 7 day (NCDHHS) is: 142 total deaths, meaning 20 on average.
Even if I go to NCDHHS last 7 days that are confirmed (last 1/29), it 's 450 deaths or 64/day.
if it was two distinct infections, supposedly. There's a global tracker for it, there have been 47 people, 2 of whom have died (a 74 yr old and an 89 yr old)
since I haven't seen this mentioned yet, but do watch WRAL News in the morning (really WRAZ50) and have noticed the news reporting much higher death #'s than NCDHHS.
WRAL graph says: "New deaths reported, rolling average"
why the discrepancy? I wondered if WRAL was using JHU #'s, but their own dashboard says it's NCDHHS.
This morning (yesterday's #), WRAL: 91 deaths
NCDHHS for Feb 9: 1 death
Worldometers: 55 deaths. Now WRAL's "91 deaths" does match worldometers 91 seven day average.
But the actual 7 day (NCDHHS) is: 142 total deaths, meaning 20 on average.
Even if I go to NCDHHS last 7 days that are confirmed (last 1/29), it 's 450 deaths or 64/day.
So, a good number of the recent deaths have been backlog. On these high number of death reporting days, the actual dates of death can stretch back up to 5-6 months (although they are concentrated in the most 90 days).
NC has held January 7th as the 7-day average by Date of Death for over 3 weeks now. Not saying this couldn't shift in coming weeks with a new data dump (it would likely to occur somewhere between 1/7 and 1/20 <where there is a secondary peak>)
Here are the my charts from yesterday, based on NC DHHS data.
All Death Data
Dates of Death. Existing and New.
Bonus chart. This is weekly reported deaths by setting. (Updated as of 2/6). Congregate deaths are still the main driver, although all settings are elevated. And as this has continued, DHHS has let the 'Unknown/Missing' settings get out of hand.
A very meaningful metric, oft ignored, is the CLI Surveillance graph. That measures, I think, the % of people showing up in ERs with flu like (Covid like) symptoms.
It has been in a very, very steep decline since early January. It is predictive.
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