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Last year I made a very safe and reasonable prediction and our first freeze ended up arriving super early, I'm not jinxing it again.
Unlike many places in the world, it is almost impossible to predict our first 32F given how crazy our weather varies. Could be anywhere from October 5th (earliest since 1900) or December 11th (latest ever 1939) which is a two month span.
Given all these cold analogs we keep hearing about, probably mid October.
From the climate predictions it should be a warm fall for the US. Could be early November but I'm sticking to around November 10th.
Is that even possible in Minnesota is what I am really wondering, mid November would be later than normal even down south. just checked Minneapolis data, latest freeze ever was November 10th in 1900, 116 years ago. Normal is October 10. your prediction is way too late, if its a warm fall something safer would be October 20.
Is that even possible in Minnesota is what I am really wondering, mid November would be later than normal even down south.
Last year was a warm fall too. There were only two nights below freezing before November 13th. October 31st is average 1st 31F.
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