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83 today with a dew of 64.. temps been around average past few days... still waiting on the big warmup!.... meanwhile the northern us is roasting. None the less been very enjoyable weather
I don't see how he has a 68 F dew point when HWO, a station that's a lot further inland and further north, has a 72 F dew point. Not to mention KB is surrounded by very warm ocean water.
Also that northern Jet stream is in Canada right now looks to dig down at the end of the month. I hope. Getting annoyed now at this ridge. Lol
Quote:
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New York NY
557 PM EDT Mon Sep 18 2017
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...
High pressure will begin to retreat to the north this evening as
tropical cyclone Jose approaches from the south. As the pressure
gradient increases between Jose and the departing high, winds will
gradually increase through the night, primarily across eastern Long
Island and far southeastern Connecticut. With plenty of cloud cover,
overnight lows will only fall into the mid 60s, about 5-10 degrees
above normal for this time of year.
.SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Tropical cyclone Jose remains the focus of the forecast through
Wednesday. Models and the official NHC forecast continue to track
Jose north and east along the Mid Atlantic coast, eventually passing
near the 40N/70W benchmark by Wednesday morning. With the wind field
not expected to expand as far west much as previously forecast,
Nassau, southern Westchester, and southern Fairfield counties have
been removed from the Tropical Storm Watch..
In terms of sensible weather, northeasterly winds continue to
increase through the day on Tuesday, with the highest winds and
strongest gusts expected across eastern Long Island and southeastern
Connecticut Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. At the same time,
rain will overspread the area beginning during the day on Tuesday
and continuing through the night before tapering off Wednesday
afternoon. Several high resolution models are depicting the initial
outer rain bands of Jose rotating through the area around daybreak
Tuesday morning before the focus of the most persistent rainfall
shifts to the eastern portion of the region closer to the center of
the storm. It is important to note that tropical storm force winds
and associated impacts extend well beyond the center of the storm.
.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/... On the large scale, a very persistent pattern remains with a very
large upper level ridge aloft across the Eastern US. The upper level
jet remains well within the interior parts of Southeast Canada.
Hence, the airmass remains mild and tropical in nature. At the
surface, not much movement essentially in terms of high and low
pressure centers, with Jose exhibiting eventual post tropical
characteristics late this week into the weekend while slowing down
in movement. It is forecast to meander in the Atlantic waters
southeast of the region.
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