Winter 2021/2022 weather discussion thread(Northern Hemisphere) (weatherman, Tampa Bay, snowfall, hot)

[Cambium]

Originally Posted by chicagogeorge

GFS also showing a foot of snow for Chicagoland on Groundhog's Day

I saw that snow map and automatically thought... WARMTH & RAIN here before I even looked at the surface map... Storm track to the Great Lakes

[chicagogeorge]

in the meantime, we are going to get some lake effect snow coming mostly for Northwest Indiana but communities along western Lake Michigan

[chicagogeorge]

Also potentially the coldest air of the winter will enter the Midwest/Great Lakes after that Groundhog's Day system moves out

[Ed's Mountain]

Record cold in New Brunswick this morning. Temperatures in Celsius of course.


Source: https://twitter.com/ryansnoddon/stat...83cKR_zMw&s=19

[exm]

Posted a new thread for "1/28-1/29: Winter Storm Kenan "bomb cyclone for the NE""

[chicagogeorge]

Wow New England is going to get clobbered








https://twitter.com/ericfisher/statu...NNwEFOGu6OA-cQ

Impressive lake effect snow hitting parts of the Chicago area








https://twitter.com/Skilling/status/...NNwEFOGu6OA-cQ

[Cambium]

Originally Posted by chicagogeorge

Wow New England is going to get clobbered

Gonna be incredible. Whiteout

[LKJ1988]

Around 70f today and maybe a drop of rain.

[GraniteStater]

Snowing here a bit overnight into this morning, a slight coating of less than an inch so far.

[ischyros]

Once again, it's anyone's guess as to what will happen next week. Accuweather and the Weather Channel are trending heavy snow for us Wednesday night and Thursday with anywhere from 4-8 inches of snow. One of our local tv weather guys has 40F and rain Thursday. The NWS forecast discussion says there is a possibility of some accumulating snow for some areas of central Indiana but who knows where, especially as they mention a 30-degree temperature gradient over about a 100 mile area, meaning just a slight change in track can have a huge impact on rain vs snow.

Low confidence so far surrounds timing and temperatures across
central Indiana...as the later arrival of the southern stream short
wave may hold chances of precipitation into Thursday...and given the
very cold high pressure to our north, any seasonably strong surface
low could easily generate a 30-degree surface temperature gradient
over a 100 mile north-south distance. Needless to say modest
changes in storm track / frontal placement will have significant
changes in precipitation type and potential impacts. Despite
continued wide spread in ensemble solutions, suspect any p-type
changes would trend liquid to frozen.