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If the local idiots say rain, you better bet on snow
These local morons couldn't tie their own shoes without a prediction. I bet on sports and there are no differences between between weather-idiots and touts.
If the local idiots say rain, you better bet on snow
These local morons couldn't tie their own shoes without a prediction. I bet on sports and there are no differences between between weather-idiots and touts.
Greg says "his gut" tells him that the weather isn't going to be a big deal so I'm not worried!!! Besides, who can really predict the weather 5 days in advance? Anyone with any common sense wouldn't base their plans on the 5 days forecast!
You can't seriously believe that the Raleigh area is going to have snow here in the next couple days. It's like 60 degrees today. And the ground is so warm that even if a few snowflakes fell, they would immediately melt.
I don't think there will be much snow here at all this year. Period. I hope I'm wrong, but think that's the way it's going to be.
It's been way too warm too long into the fall season here to expect a cold, snowy winter. It won't be that cold until sometime in January. Then, in February it starts getting warm again. Pretty much there's not a real winter. Well, like four weeks of possible cold weather, if you want to call that winter.
I'm in Sweden on business and fly back to Raleigh on Friday... we got 8" here today & i was looking forward to at least 50ish.
This is wonderful news...
/sarcasm
//Also a MI carpetbagger, and yes I laugh at weathermen in both North and South
///Also at people that stock up on milk/eggs/bread for the infrequent dustings here
Still possible, it will be cold enough, now will the strorm be close enough to the coast.
End Changed Discussion --
&&
.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
-- Changed Discussion --
AS OF 145 AM WEDNESDAY...
THE +PNA/-NAO PATTERN COMBINED WITH WITH A STRONGLY NEGATIVE ARCTIC
OSCILLATION (AO) IS ONE THAT TYPICALLY SPELL COLD TEMPERATURES WITH
WINTERY PRECIPITATION FOR OUR REGION. IT MAY ACTUALLY LEAD TO A
SIGNIFICANT STORM NEAR THE SE COAST THIS WEEKEND. HOW STRONG THE
STORM BECOMES...AND HOW CLOSE THE STORM TRACKS TO THE SE COAST
WILL BE THE MAJOR CONCERN FOR US...ESPECIALLY WITH THE COLD AIR
BECOMING ENTRENCHED THROUGHOUT THE EASTERN UNITED STATES.
GENERALLY MOST OF THE 00Z/16 DECEMBER MODEL SOLUTIONS KEEP THE LOW
TRACK JUST FAR ENOUGH OFFSHORE SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT...THAT
MOSTLY LIGHT OR MODERATE PRECIPITATION WOULD BE EXPECTED INLAND
FROM THE COAST. THIS WOULD MEAN THAT THE NW EDGE OF THE
PRECIPITATION SHIELD WOULD AFFECT AT LEAST A PORTION OF OUR
REGION. HOWEVER...SOME MODEL SOLUTIONS INCLUDING THE 12Z ECMWF
AND THE 00Z GEM/NAM HAVE THE LOW TRACK TUCKED UP AGAINST THE SC
COAST...PROVIDING A FAVORED WINTER STORM TRACK FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL NC.
THE KEY TO THE STORM TRACK AND INTENSITY APPEARS TO LIE IN WHAT
OCCURS UPSTREAM IN THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS. THIS IS WHERE THE
MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW GREAT SPREAD IN SOLUTIONS IN THE FORECAST
DEEPENING OF A MID LEVEL TROUGH NEAR THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY. THE
00Z/NAM AND THE PREVIOUS 12Z/ECMWF WERE SLOWER AND DEEPER WITH THE
TROUGH DEVELOPMENT...WHILE OTHER MODELS WERE GENERALLY FASTER AND
WEAKER. THE TREND IN THE MODELS WAS GENERALLY FOR A FASTER AND
WEAKER TROUGH...WHICH WOULD FAVOR THE MORE OFFSHORE SOLUTION.
EVEN SO...THE LATEST GUIDANCE STILL BRINGS SOME PRECIPITATION
INLAND OVER OUR REGION FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. SINCE A
COMPROMISE SOLUTION IS IN ORDER THIS MORNING...WE WILL MAINTAIN
OUR CURRENT FORECAST WITH ONLY A COUPLE OF ADDITIONS. SINCE THIS
FORECAST IS A LOW CONFIDENCE FORECAST...AND WILL NOT BE RESOLVED
UNTIL POSSIBLY FRIDAY...IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT EVERYONE SHOULD
KEEP UP WITH THE LATEST INFORMATION ON A POTENTIAL WINTER STORM
FOR PORTIONS OF OUR REGION THIS WEEKEND.
AS FOR P-TYPE...WE WILL ADD A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW INTO THE
CLIMATOLOGICAL PREFERRED AREAS BASED ON THE MILLER A TYPE LOW...
FAVORED STORM TRACK...LOW LEVEL THICKNESS FORECASTS...AND COLD
HIGH OF SUFFICIENT STRENGTH (1025+ MB) AND LOCATION (NY TO NC)...
FOR A CONTINUED DELIVERY OF CAA AS THE STORM APPROACHES FRI NIGHT
INTO SATURDAY.
EXPECT INCREASING CLOUDS AND CHILLY CONDITIONS FRIDAY WITH HIGHS IN
THE 40S. CLOUDY FRIDAY NIGHT WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SE...AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN/SNOW NW. LOWS 30-35. CLOUDY SATURDAY AND
SATURDAY NIGHT WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SE... AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW/RAIN NW. HIGHS 35-45 NW TO SE. LOWS 30-35. VARIABLY CLOUDY
SUNDAY. BREEZY AND CHILLY WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S NW RANGING
INTO THE 40S SE. EXPECT THE POP NUMBERS TO CHANGE SIGNIFICANTLY
WHEN A PREFERRED STORM TRACK AND STRENGTH IS FINALLY AGREED UPON.
WE WILL PLAY IT CONSERVATIVE UNTIL THAT OCCURS.
FOR SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY AND COLD. LOWS
20-27. HIGHS 38-45. -BADGETT-- End Changed Discussion --
Posted 39 minutes ago
The 6z gfs drags this event out for 36+hours: I wouldn't put to much faith in the 6z it should tighten things up more; Meaning this event won't last 36 hours and will be colder than it has it progged at the begining. This is gonna be a big winter storm for NGA & the Carolinas and possibly TN on the backside so stayed tuned. Hopefully we''ll have a clearer picture by this time tommorrow. This storm will sta
are you guys still believe what they said on tele? I trust my beloved groundhog! lol
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