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View Poll Results: When will London reach 20c?
Before 1 Mar 1 2.44%
1-15 Mar 0 0%
16-31 Mar 1 2.44%
1-15 Apr 10 24.39%
16-30 Apr 5 12.20%
1-15 May 9 21.95%
16 May or later 15 36.59%
Voters: 41. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 05-02-2016, 01:34 PM
 
Location: Leeds, UK
22,112 posts, read 29,597,650 times
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Well in that case, the average high exceeds 20C in late May, I think.
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Old 05-02-2016, 01:41 PM
 
Location: Athens
151 posts, read 146,748 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by alex985 View Post
I think he's confusing when the average high turns to 20 C and when it'll occur first. Which is rather silly, kinda like confusing when the average low drops to 0 C and when the first freeze typically occurs.
I am not.With a mean max of 14C during April and 18C in May London is more likely statistically to see it's first 20C during May and not April.It's not nuclear physics.
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Old 05-02-2016, 01:42 PM
 
Location: Leeds, UK
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mesogeiakos View Post
I am not.With a mean max of 14C during April and 18C in May London is more likely statistically to see it's first 20C during May and not April.It's not nuclear physics.
London is statistically more likely to see 20C in May than in April, but its first 20C of the year usually occurs in April. It is not a hard concept to understand.

Using your birdbrain logic, London's first 0C occurs in December because 0C is more likely in December than November, but that's also untrue.
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Old 05-02-2016, 01:43 PM
 
Location: Broward County, FL
16,191 posts, read 11,372,298 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mesogeiakos View Post
I am not.With a mean max of 14C during April and 18C in May London is more likely statistically to see it's first 20C during May and not April.It's not nuclear physics.
So temperatures never vary from average huh? The average high in London is 16 C at the end of April, so 20 C is not far-fetched whatsoever that time of year, it's only 4 C above average.


Of course, 20 C is far more likely in May than April, but that doesn't mean that the average first 20 C can't occur in April.


Like you said, it's not nuclear physics.
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Old 05-02-2016, 01:47 PM
 
Location: Athens
151 posts, read 146,748 times
Reputation: 120
Quote:
Originally Posted by dunno what to put here View Post
London is statistically more likely to see 20C in May than in April, but its first 20C of the year usually occurs in April.
No usually it does not.I am pretty sure if you check Heathrow's data from the whole time-series you will see that statistically the first 20C occurs in May more frequently than does in April.
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Old 05-02-2016, 01:47 PM
 
Location: Leeds, UK
22,112 posts, read 29,597,650 times
Reputation: 8819
Prove it then.
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Old 05-02-2016, 01:49 PM
 
Location: Broward County, FL
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B87 said earlier in the thread that only six out of the last 30 Aprils didn't record 20 C, so there's that.
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Old 05-02-2016, 01:50 PM
 
Location: Athens
151 posts, read 146,748 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by alex985 View Post
B87 said earlier in the thread that only six out of the last 30 Aprils didn't record 20 C, so there's that.
What was the meteorological station of reference and how did it compare to May?
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Old 05-02-2016, 01:52 PM
 
Location: Broward County, FL
16,191 posts, read 11,372,298 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mesogeiakos View Post
What was the meteorological station of reference and how did it compare to May?
I believe it was Heathrow and if only six failed to reach 20 C, that means 24 Aprils did reach 20 C. What would be the point of even looking up May?
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Old 05-02-2016, 01:55 PM
 
Location: York
6,517 posts, read 5,820,219 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mesogeiakos View Post
What was the meteorological station of reference and how did it compare to May?
Heathrow, and what on earth are you going on about? If only 6 out of the last 30 April's haven't recorded 20c, then what does that tell you?

Seriously, is this a wind up?
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