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Old 12-27-2020, 03:28 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,500 posts, read 75,234,500 times
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Coming up....

Tomorrow... miss to the north



Friday... miss to our west



Sunday...miss to our south


 
Old 12-28-2020, 12:27 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,500 posts, read 75,234,500 times
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And............ we're back...

Latest Euro12z brings back "a little" snow for the I-95 Corridor. (1-2")
Jan 3-4 time frame.

Cold air races in behind the storm...worst setup to have. But not how the storm slows down when it exits the coast south of us. That's a little interesting. Maybe trying to pick up something else is happening.




The coastal storm has always been there, they just don't know where to place it yet. We'll see if this is a trend or just 1-2 fluke runs.
 
Old 12-28-2020, 02:20 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Bridgeport is +5.2" above normal for season snowfall
BDL is +7.2"


That's why they didn't make this sad list... //www.city-data.com/forum/weath...l#post60007630
 
Old 12-29-2020, 05:50 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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And the latest Euro gets a little closer again with the coastal storm Jan 3-4. Looks like we have a trend now.




Brings 2-4" to parts of CT


 
Old 12-29-2020, 05:51 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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BDL reporting light snow this morning thanks to the fetch off Lake Ontario


 
Old 12-29-2020, 12:54 PM
 
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I saw snowflakes in Glastonbury around 10am, although my app warned me of sleet
 
Old 12-29-2020, 03:32 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,500 posts, read 75,234,500 times
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From Christmas Day. It was only shown once but interesting that "something" was happening around this timeframe.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
And there it is........ Just 1 run so I shouldn't be showing this. but this is what we need! Ok, now back to reality.
Spoiler
latest GFS says "Oh yeah, Euro has been onto something, let me copy it.


Still too far off the coast for us but its finally showing the coastal on the map now. Been 3 days where it hasn't.


We officially have a trend regarding a coastal storm with the models for Jan 3-4.. Now lets see if they trend closer! PLEASE Trend closer!




To be honest I don't like this period for any snow, I think Mid January thereafter is better but hey, we can't control it.
 
Old 12-30-2020, 02:04 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,500 posts, read 75,234,500 times
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Jan 3-4, 2020:


All models have the coastal storm close enough to impact us now. it took being 4-5 days away to figure it out. GFS threw the idea out once, Euro had it more times than none just too far away, now all models have it and close enough. ...

GFS brings 2-4" of snow across the state.
Canadian brings 2-6"

Euro???????????????????????????????????

These 2 images show the difference between the latest update and the previous update. Aside from the storm being even closer.... Look at the temp change. Latest run is MUCH MUCH warmer. Rain everywhere.

 
Old 12-30-2020, 03:08 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,500 posts, read 75,234,500 times
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Jan 3-4, 2020


Latest GFS goes a little warmer. Snow changes to rain for coast and CT valley. Pretty strong coastal storm. If only Arctic air was around!! Marginal doesn't cut it for us. Too much can go wrong


 
Old 12-30-2020, 04:01 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,500 posts, read 75,234,500 times
Reputation: 16619
National Weather Service New York NY
355 PM EST Wed Dec 30 2020

FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A generally active weather pattern will continue through the
beginning of next week with several system impacting the area. The
first of which will pass through Friday into Saturday. Another low
pressure may develop along the coast into Sunday but there is still
significant uncertainty between models as to where and when it
develops.

Behind the system which will move on to the northeast will be a very
brief high pressure development from the north. This looks to
quickly be pushed out by early Sunday as another area of vorticity
approaches the area from the southwest. This may develop another low
pressure system along the coastline but global models are not in
agreement as to the strength, placement, and timing of the low

pressure. The ECMWF brings this low very close to Long Island by
late Sunday night, where the GFS develops a slightly stronger low
further out to see that is more progressive (as is typical), with
the CMC being somewhere in between. Overall, the confidence in the
development of a low pressure is increasing but any more details
this far out are very low confidence
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