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First, it was entirely robo-call, entirely landline.
But this really caught my eye...
According to the age distribution, not a single respondent below the age of 30 selected neither Clinton nor Trump, and only 6% of those choosing other than Clinton or Trump were below the age of 30.
First, it strains credibility - to put it mildly - to suggest that either Clinton or Trump, much less both of them combined, are getting 0% from 29 and under. Second, with 21.5% choosing neither Clinton nor Trump, and a sample size of 1000, that's 215 such respondents. With the under 30s coming from only that group, and totaling only 6% of it, that means that only 13 of the 1000 respondents - or 1.3% - were under the age of 30. Polling & Analysis
Well landlines are typically bad enough. However, good pollsters can weight the poll to make up for that. They only weight for gender though. Which pretty much no poll does. They all weight based off the U.S. census file. If the state is good they will weight it further off of the voter file as well.
First, it was entirely robo-call, entirely landline.
But this really caught my eye...
According to the age distribution, not a single respondent below the age of 30 selected neither Clinton nor Trump, and only 6% of those choosing other than Clinton or Trump were below the age of 30.
First, it strains credibility - to put it mildly - to suggest that either Clinton or Trump, much less both of them combined, are getting 0% from 29 and under. Second, with 21.5% choosing neither Clinton nor Trump, and a sample size of 1000, that's 215 such respondents. With the under 30s coming from only that group, and totaling only 6% of it, that means that only 13 of the 1000 respondents - or 1.3% - were under the age of 30. Polling & Analysis
An example why a serious person must look at all the polls because the pollsters use different methodology ... and there will always be an odd poll that is an outlier.
The poll showing Trump leading Clinton is not a polling organization ... it was done by a Canadian company in the oil industry.
Hey, the **********s need to get excited about something. It was a robocall done by a company with 2-10 employees whose "expertise" is in O&G. Credibility? About zero.
Hey, the **********s need to get excited about something. It was a robocall done by a company with 2-10 employees whose "expertise" is in O&G. Credibility? About zero.
Your credibility is about zero also since you can't write a complete sentence without calling people you don't agree with childish names.
Why is a Canadian Oil Company owned by two Pakistani or Indian guys so interested in the American presidential race, and why would they decide to do a poll? This makes no sense.
Sure does give Trump's fan club a reason to go on living, though!
Last edited by Mr. In-Between; 08-22-2016 at 01:42 AM..
Why is a Canadian Oil Company owned by two Pakistani or Indian guys so interested in the American presidential race, and why would they decide to do a poll? This makes no sense.
Sure does give Trump's fan club a reason to go on living, though!
You just said it yourself. "Oil company." You get polls like these every election though. "Non partisan" companies trying to try their hand at polling. Some of them are likely just people interested at it, and they don't understand how to properly do it, and others are paid for by super pacs and parties to get favorable results that they can fund raise off of.
Another round of 400 polled and Trump is holding steady at 45% vs 43% in the LA Times/USC poll.
He lost 1 point already in this Trump-leaning poll
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