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Old 08-22-2016, 06:25 AM
 
Location: Chicago, IL
1,988 posts, read 2,223,598 times
Reputation: 1536

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Quote:
Originally Posted by eddiehaskell View Post
Another round of 400 polled and Trump is holding steady at 45% vs 43% in the LA Times/USC poll.
Calling that a poll is a stretch.

 
Old 08-22-2016, 09:43 AM
 
12,547 posts, read 9,936,246 times
Reputation: 6927
Gravis

North Carolina

Trump 39%
Clinton 38%

The last poll from NC had Trump down 9.
 
Old 08-22-2016, 09:46 AM
 
9,981 posts, read 8,591,694 times
Reputation: 5664
Quote:
Originally Posted by eddiehaskell View Post
Gravis

North Carolina

Trump 39%
Clinton 38%

The last poll from NC had Trump down 9.

Trump will win North Carolina easily.
 
Old 08-22-2016, 10:45 AM
 
Location: Long Island (chief in S Farmingdale)
22,187 posts, read 19,462,661 times
Reputation: 5305
Quote:
Originally Posted by eddiehaskell View Post
Gravis

North Carolina

Trump 39%
Clinton 38%

The last poll from NC had Trump down 9.
I posted this yesterday, very odd demographic sample. 79% white, 10% African-American
 
Old 08-22-2016, 10:50 AM
 
Location: Tennessee
37,803 posts, read 41,013,481 times
Reputation: 62204
Would you agree that for every poll published, you would like to see dots on a US map that show the town location of the people sampled? Nothing that identifies the person, just the town location.

I would like it to verify the polled people aren't all living in large cities but after Election Day, I'd like to compare it to those places where not a single person voted Republican (or Democrat). I would also like to compare the polls to each other.
 
Old 08-22-2016, 10:52 AM
 
Location: Type 0.73 Kardashev
11,110 posts, read 9,814,649 times
Reputation: 40166
Quote:
Originally Posted by eddiehaskell View Post
Gravis

North Carolina

Trump 39%
Clinton 38%

The last poll from NC had Trump down 9.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Smash255 View Post
I posted this yesterday, very odd demographic sample. 79% white, 10% African-American
And in 2012, the North Carolina electorate was 70% white, 23% African-American.
North Carolina Presidential Race - 2012 Election Center - Elections & Politics from CNN.com
 
Old 08-22-2016, 11:16 AM
 
Location: Tennessee
37,803 posts, read 41,013,481 times
Reputation: 62204
I'm looking at Clinton's latest 5 national polls that go from ending the 14th to the 17th and Clinton is ahead in all by a 2 to 6 point range. They include Johnson and Stein. I don't look at the averaging because I don't believe in averaging polls with different sampling methodologies. I look at the individual poll numbers.

RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

It seems to me though, that her number have come down a bit. She was 8 - 14 ahead in earlier weeks this month.
 
Old 08-22-2016, 11:41 AM
 
Location: Long Island (chief in S Farmingdale)
22,187 posts, read 19,462,661 times
Reputation: 5305
Quote:
Originally Posted by LauraC View Post
I'm looking at Clinton's latest 5 national polls that go from ending the 14th to the 17th and Clinton is ahead in all by a 2 to 6 point range. They include Johnson and Stein. I don't look at the averaging because I don't believe in averaging polls with different sampling methodologies. I look at the individual poll numbers.

RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

It seems to me though, that her number have come down a bit. She was 8 - 14 ahead in earlier weeks this month.
Taking an average is always better in part due to the different methodologies. The average has come down from around 8 to the 5's. However, the state polls haven't seen the same movement as of yet.
 
Old 08-22-2016, 11:53 AM
 
8,276 posts, read 11,917,264 times
Reputation: 10080
Quote:
Originally Posted by Smash255 View Post
Taking an average is always better in part due to the different methodologies. The average has come down from around 8 to the 5's. However, the state polls haven't seen the same movement as of yet.
State polls are holding quite steady. Hillary has a big electoral college lead.
 
Old 08-22-2016, 12:11 PM
 
46,951 posts, read 25,990,037 times
Reputation: 29442
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mr. In-Between View Post
Why is a Canadian Oil Company owned by two Pakistani or Indian guys so interested in the American presidential race, and why would they decide to do a poll? This makes no sense.
They just drove several million people to click on their website, some of whom are bound to be Trump supporters in the oil industry who are now likely to think well of them. I gotta say, if that's a marketing stunt, it's utterly brilliant. I would not have thought of that.
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