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The source is suspect to say the least. Even if it is true, what were the demographics and geographic scope of the poll? Politics can vary wildly within a given state.
A few weeks ago, Pat Cadell slammed the Reuters poll which showed Clinton with a 10 point lead after just the previous week showing Trump with a 10 point lead. That simply isn't possible, and Cadell knew it. He also used the occasion to slam other polls that had changed there methodology in order to favor Clinton.
Now we have a real poll, done fairly, of 50,000 people. It shows Trump leading Hillary, 67% to 19% nationwide.
No we don't. What we have is some crazy right-wing blog site claiming that such a poll exists, and that they got their info from some "insider" in either the GOP or the Trump campaign - but refusing to say who that insider is, or show any of the poll data, and telling everyone who reads their post to "take it or leave it." That's what we have. We do not have a "real poll, done fairly."
Personally, my choice is to "leave it." And most people with any sense whatsoever will do the same.
Quote:
Jack, this is not from a link on the internet. It is from direct contact. Not everything gets posted on the internet and not everything on there is trustworthy, as you point out. Please read our comment just above yours for clarity. Then take it or leave it.
Lol, when was the last presidential election in which anyone got 67% of the vote?
Yeah, exactly. No one has gotten even 61% in the last 100 years.
Mick
P.S. Love the moronic comments to that linked article.
Well, to be fair, there has never been a candidate that has was the subject of two, and most likely now a third criminal investigation.
I'll take this poll with a grain of salt just like any other poll.
However, lets be honest here, the polls that showed Hillary surging as her favorability, and trustworthiness numbers were dropping are completely bogus, and can be dismissed outright.
Totally bogus. According to their website, 13 people completed 50,000 interviews in 2 weeks, That's 274 per day per interviewer and doesn't include incompletes or no answers (you'd need ~300-500,000 calls or more to get 50,000 completes). Also 1,000 per state gives more weight to smaller states. Of course there are are no breakdowns or details.
Did you expect anything different? Hillary got a convention bounce and Trunp has been hammered by the media for a week.
And, they have a death grip on that bounce too! Ah, let them hold it just a little longer.
I have been watching the polling and interestingly enough, it seems the numbers showing the bounce are being clutched tightly. The polls just showing 2 or 3 recent days, are starting to indicate exactly what I thought they would. I suppose they'll average in that bounce until it becomes ridiculous like the candidate they are "propping" up, both physically and metaphorically.
What we want to see is Trump to slowly edge up. I think at that point, he will have it. Yeah, I don't believe the polls are that accurate, but the polls will be reflecting what everyone is hearing and the general disgust more and more people are feeling about Hillary.
Trump and Hillary have exchanged leads in the polls too.
"Opinion polls on Brexit were all over the place; the theoretical lead had changed hands dozens of times since September, although “leave” never reached 50 percent support. Still, betting odds put the chance of remaining at 90 percent as the polls closed on Thursday. Ladbrokes was offering 4-to-1 on a leave vote, according to The Guardian."
Traded leads? In the 84 polls taken since Trump sewed up his nomination he has led exactly 12 times and tied twice. Half of which were using the same pollster (Rasmussen). So we can stop with the fantasy that it's been a battle back and forth. Besides right after Indiana, and the RNC convention, Clinton has had a consistent lead over Trump. Thank you for proving what I already said. The polls on leave and remain were a tossup. It doesn't matter what betting markets said the fact is the polls told the tale.
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I suppose they'll average in that bounce until it becomes ridiculous like the candidate they are "propping" up, both physically and metaphorically.