Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
Trump's highest amounts were in the now cast mosel right after the RNC convention. His high point in the other two midels were around the same time, but a bit lower
Likewise Clinton's tops were in the now cast model shortly after the DNC convention. Her highest in the other two models were around the same time, but not quite as high as the now cast models.
This makes sense on both ends as the now cast model puts heavier weight on the newest polls (all three models do, but more weighted in now cast) and doesn't lighten the weight of the polls right after the Convention. As a result now cast will tend to see heavier and quicker swings than the other two models, especially after the Convention.
This does diminish somewhat as you get closer to Election day, which is something we are already starting to see.
Of course averages matter but that's not what I had posted, so you should have not corrected me.
Anyone familiar with LA Times polls knows that their methodology is different. They poll the same pool of people to measure change of attitudes within the same group of people.
Please register to post and access all features of our very popular forum. It is free and quick. Over $68,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum. Additional giveaways are planned.
Detailed information about all U.S. cities, counties, and zip codes on our site: City-data.com.