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Looking at ABC poll this morning barely 1/3 of voters think Trump is qualified to be President. It is hard to see where enough of the rest are going to vote for him in spite of thinking he can't do the job. The ABC poll, in general, presents a very bleak and almost hopeless landscape for Trump with his only "strength" being enthusiasm of his relatively few supporters (white men). Expectations, which may be the best predictor of all, have only 29% thinking Trump will win. There is a chance that Clinton voters will take a victory for granted.
Bernie supporters were very enthusiastic, but he still lost by around 4 million votes.
This has been covered before. Despite DNC corruption, Bernie rode the wave of enthusiasm from ~2% support to ~43% support. Therefore, it's crazy to assume enthusiasm is a non-factor in voter turnout.
The ABC poll, in general, presents a very bleak and almost hopeless landscape for Trump with his only "strength" being enthusiasm of his relatively few supporters (POORLY-EDUCATED white men).
It's pretty simple. Trump needs to hold all of the 206 EVs Romney won in 2012. Then needs 64 more. His path is extremely difficult compared to the one Clinton has. Not to mention again that he has no effective ground game and get out the vote effort.
You're trying to reassure yourself by telling me that.
Nope. Unless Trump runs the table(FLorida,Ohio AND PA)he will lose. Not even counting states like NC and AZ which were Romney in 12 but VERY close now. Most polls have Trump losing NC. He has very little chance. Oh well. Sure that Hannity will reassure you.
Sounds like you like making up stories that only make sense in your mind.
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Originally Posted by eddiehaskell
Very vague...you must have said something wise.
Quote:
Originally Posted by eddiehaskell
You're trying to reassure yourself by telling me that.
Why is it that every time a serious discussion starts to break out among the grown ups, the annoying kid who lives next door to the Cleaver family has to come barging in the kitchen door and try to spoil it with adolescent catcalls?
Look. You had a fun couple of days when your cult leader had a brief bump in the polls, and we're all happy for you. You got to strut around, crowing and beating your chest, and... well... good for you. Now that appears to be over, and the numbers are back to normal. So in a day or two, you'll be back to "polls don't matter," and we'll all go back to rolling our eyes every time you post.
But in the meantime, do you have to be so childish? People are making good points in this thread. The comparison to Romney voters' enthusiasm level is a valid one, and the observation that the electoral map is an overwhelming obstacle for Trump is accurate. I think both of them deserve better than "neener neener neener I don't wanna hear it."
Face it. Your guy is in serious trouble. He needs to make up a lot of ground, and he isn't closing the gap at all. The gap remains constant at about 3.2 to 4%. The clock is ticking. He has fewer than 60 days left to close the gap, and every day that he doesn't gain any ground makes it even harder. You need to face reality; the numbers look worse for him every day, even when they don't move at all.
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