Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
She has won the last 20 polls in a row, 17 of which have been by 4+ or more meaning they are outside the margin of error. Everything from NBC and ABC to Fox news and Reuters and now this one. Stick a fork in Trump, he's done.
The Trump supporters are now going to say that this was rigged.
no, most people just think that a vote for hillary is a vote that condones her behavior and condones all the payoffs, backroom deals, fake foundations and bribes. a vote for essentially says that its ok for some people to not follow the rules and laws of this country.
She has won the last 20 polls in a row, 17 of which have been by 4+ or more meaning they are outside the margin of error. Everything from NBC and ABC to Fox news and Reuters and now this one. Stick a fork in Trump, he's done.
First of all, this is not a straight forward poll as most are. 95% confidence rating with 1.8% margin of error is something I have never seen. It used automated telephone calls, yeah, who is most likely to pick those up and was "weighted" by "voting patterns" so not a straight forward if the election was held today sort of poll.
I was not able to find the questions or methodology used. Gravis took me to a Twitter account with a big sign in blocking it.
Five points is nothing to worry about. Geesh, Bernie ran almost 10 points ahead of Trump throughout the primaries and look what happened to Bernie, considered a total failure by the Democratic Party and pushed out in the name corruption.
Dems thought polling didn't matter when Bernie was doing better than Hillary against Trump. I guess they "flip-flopped"!
Expedition Strategies:
Indiana Trump 44% Clinton 44%
Don't know how much weight you can give to this pollster.
Probably not much - that was an internal poll commissioned by the John Gregg gubernatorial campaign. It was mainly intended to survey his race, but it also polled the Presidential contest. Internal polls usually have significant partisan bias, but even if we assume a 4-6% bias, that puts Indiana closer than it should be (Romney carried the state by 10.2% in 2012). And remember - Indiana is in the Rust Belt, and Trump's entire campaign strategy is to peel off enough of the PA/OH/MI/WI Rust Belt states while holding onto North Carolina and the rest of the states Romney carried, and thereby squeaking out a narrow win.
But his poll numbers in all of those states are running well behind Romney's 2012 numbers.
Just keep tellin' yourself that - and then on election night, follow Megan Kelly to the back room - to fight with the prognisticators when they call it for Clinton.
Remember Karl Rove...... in his own fantasy bubble - or have you forgotten, already?
From the NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll of Pennsylvania released recently
* as per a graphic on MTP Daily on 8/15/2016
Whites with a College Degree: Clinton 53% Trump 32% (Clinton +21%)
Whites without a College Degree: Trump 50% Clinton 34% (Trump +16)
Whites with a degree have broken for Clinton as sharply as whites without a degree have broken for Trump. Since the white vote is about 50/50 between college and non-college that effectively splits the white vote. When you add the strong Democratic tendencies of the minority vote, the race becomes a rout, unless Trump can somehow turn around the white college vote.
Please register to post and access all features of our very popular forum. It is free and quick. Over $68,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum. Additional giveaways are planned.
Detailed information about all U.S. cities, counties, and zip codes on our site: City-data.com.
Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
