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I was hoping that west bent would make her clip Cuba closer but looks like Cuba's lucky day--
not ours
Someone on SRQ-Venice board said lical ABC weather guu said she would downgrade to a 2 by time she it...
Is there ANY reliable analysis agreeing w/that? Or is it wishful thinking?
I want my daughter to have accurate reporting--not someone "grasping at straws" reporting
'I doubt anyone will dodge a bullet in south Florida. The main key is hopefully the hurricane
will hit land in Cuba and slow down more and not speed up with the warm water off the gulf
on it's way to Florida. If it would reduce to Category 3 when it hit Florida that would be great news
to minimize damage somewhat. Still going to lots of damage. I heard the west side of the storm is not
as bad as on the east of the rotation which would be good for Ft Meyer and Cape Coral but do not
know if this is fact..
If it heads just west of Miami and Key Biscayne, that puts both those cities on the worse side of the storm.... not only is that not dodging a bullet, it's WORSE..
If it heads just west of Miami and Key Biscayne, that puts both those cities on the worse side of the storm.... not only is that not dodging a bullet, it's WORSE..
Not if it heads way west (like Naples or Ft Myers)
I heard the west side of the storm is not as bad as on the east of the rotation which would be good for Ft Meyer and Cape Coral but do not know if this is fact..
Yes, typically strongest winds and surge are in the NE quadrant (upper right corner) of a hurricane right around the eyewall itself, slowly less so as you head away from the center. Now how much 'weaker' a storm is elsewhere compared to the NE quadrant varies storm to storm...could be very similar winds, could be obviously less, no guarantees until it comes in. But, each storm is different.
When in view of the mainland US radar you'll be able to see and track the rain band around the eye (that's the eye wall) and that's going to have the worse winds where you see the strongest rain around that eye typically, but as storm is spinning sometimes the part with worse winds may shift around that eye as storm degrades.
Not if it heads way west (like Naples or Ft Myers)
If heads way far west enough then ya, would be outside the core strongest winds and highest surge, but gonna be close enough for a wild ride either way. Of corse the center could still come up into Miami and you'd be screwed. Don't forget most bridges will close when tropical storm winds arrive so by sometime Saturday.
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