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I wasn't so sure of that before the OSU game, but I'd say 60/40 now. Oregon would still make it interesting, but I think Bama's weaknesses were exposed by the deep ball down the sideline. Oregon has never really struck me as a deep ball passing team. They do a lot of stuff underneath and move the ball laterally, and only going deep when everyone's all up at the line of scrimmage, sucking wind, with substitutions barely in place, expecting another 15 yard pass. Alabama's seen that style of play, so there would be no surprises against them in this regard. They're well-conditioned, except against physically superior linemen. Oregon's not physically superior. A few years ago, yeah, Alabama might be in trouble against this kind of offense, but in recent years, Alabama actually seems to like and prefer Oregon's style of play and seems to have thoroughly disliked the deep passing game of teams like Oklahoma and OSU. A reversal from 3-5 years ago.
UT without Colt McCoy (and with what turned out to be one of the three worst UT quarterbacks in the past 20 years) kept it t a 3 point game in the 4th quarter with Bama. And judging by how the game was going in the beginning, had Colt not gotten hurt UT very well may have been the first team to expose Bama's weakness against quick offense where the quarterback makes his read and releases the ball quickly.
It was a 3 point game with under 5 minutes to go when the Biggest QB Bust in UT history (a freshman with almost 0 playing time all season - thanks Mack) turns over the ball twice near Texas' own red zone.
Afterwards those Tide fans strutted around like they had it in the bag and Texas never stood a chance in the first place. Yeah... sure. They should've sent Gilbert a nice thank you note afterwards.
McCoy plays the whole game - Texas wins by 2 tds.
I wouldn't bring that up, but too many Bama folks continue to delude themselves.
It was a 3 point game with under 5 minutes to go when the Biggest QB Bust in UT history (a freshman with almost 0 playing time all season - thanks Mack) turns over the ball twice near Texas' own red zone.
Afterwards those Tide fans strutted around like they had it in the bag and Texas never stood a chance in the first place. Yeah... sure. They should've sent Gilbert a nice thank you note afterwards.
McCoy plays the whole game - Texas wins by 2 tds.
I wouldn't bring that up, but too many Bama folks continue to delude themselves.
Excuses, excuses.
I think it's fair to say that we'll never know what the outcome would have been if McCoy had been uninjured, but you can't assume that Texas would have won anymore than you can assume Buffalo would have defeated Dallas in Super Bowl 27 if Jim Kelly had not been hurt. You can speculate, but that's all you can do.
No question, Colt McCoy would have made a difference, but who knows, maybe Colt McCoy performs no better than Mariota did on Monday. Oregon moved the ball well in the first quarter against Ohio State, but the Buckeyes made adjustments. Alabama probably would have made adjustments as well.
In the end, it doesn't matter. Alabama won, and those two programs have gone in completely opposite directions since that time.
I'm never surprised when an SEC West team beats a non-SEC West team. Neither is the scoreboard for that matter. The only time the spread is less than 30 seems to be when they play each other.
Would like to see MissSt win, but LSU is supposed to have an awesome running game I hear.
Had Auburn lost today, it would have been World News.
I still cant believe Arkansas lost to Toledo. Unreal.
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