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Old 10-03-2016, 09:28 AM
 
Location: Silver Spring, MD
2,123 posts, read 1,789,893 times
Reputation: 2289

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Quote:
Originally Posted by scgraham View Post
" WASHINGTON Oct. 1 (UPI) — The UPI/CVoter daily presidential tracking poll released Saturday shows Donald Trump leading Hillary Clinton by nearly 2 percentage points.

The online poll shows Trump with 49.31 percent, to Clinton’s 47.34 percent."

UPI Poll: Donald Trump +2 over Hillary Clinton, Nears 50 Percent Support - Breitbart
The latest poll still includes predebate interviews. At this point it seems pointless to include polls that don't fully reflect the impact of the debate since it was watershed moment. I would have said the same things about polls that happened before Clinton's 9/11 stumble. I think with the past week this poll is going to be really interesting considering the number of moments that have happened. It's possible that this poll may never settle down again given that major things happened nearly every day in the past week. Even if nothing major happened until the next debate, not likely given at the very least there is the vice presidential debate, by the time the polling fully reflects the taxes reveal we will be at the next Trump-Clinton debate and the roller coaster is off again.

 
Old 10-03-2016, 09:44 AM
 
46,944 posts, read 25,972,151 times
Reputation: 29439
Quote:
Originally Posted by AnywhereElse View Post
Clinton didn't win the debate, but if she did, is it OK to cheat?
That's a strong opener right there. "Our team totally won - but just in case we actually lost, let me tell you why we really won, anyway. Way to show confidence.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Emerald Forest View Post
The debate was considered a draw by many, the polls and MSM outlets have an agenda...
They sure do - they need to sell a horse-race narrative to keep people tuning in.
 
Old 10-03-2016, 09:46 AM
 
46,944 posts, read 25,972,151 times
Reputation: 29439
Quote:
Originally Posted by MetroWord View Post
Update. Clinton's numbers keep going up. She now has almost 69% chance of winning while Trump is down to 31%.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/...tion-forecast/
As much as I like the trend, I hate the actual numbers. Sure, we're now playing Russian roulette with 2 bullets and not 3, but it's still not a comforting thought.
 
Old 10-03-2016, 09:50 AM
 
6,393 posts, read 4,112,986 times
Reputation: 8252
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dane_in_LA View Post
As much as I like the trend, I hate the actual numbers. Sure, we're now playing Russian roulette with 2 bullets and not 3, but it's still not a comforting thought.
What?
 
Old 10-03-2016, 09:52 AM
 
Location: Florida
33,568 posts, read 18,150,665 times
Reputation: 15538
After all that money spent on negative adds against Trump.. Hilllary should be running away.. she isn't. Philadelphia gave Hillary over 8 million dollars and that city is going down badly. Ghettos, drugs a usual liberal city going to waste and the people getting wasted.
 
Old 10-03-2016, 09:57 AM
 
Location: 500 miles from home
33,942 posts, read 22,516,886 times
Reputation: 25816
Quote:
Originally Posted by Taratova View Post
After all that money spent on negative adds against Trump.. Hilllary should be running away.. she isn't. Philadelphia gave Hillary over 8 million dollars and that city is going down badly. Ghettos, drugs a usual liberal city going to waste and the people getting wasted.
And Trump should have never been the Republican nominee - but he is.


There is no 'running away' with elections anymore. Either party could put up a limp clown and half the population would vote for it.
 
Old 10-03-2016, 09:58 AM
 
46,944 posts, read 25,972,151 times
Reputation: 29439
Quote:
Originally Posted by MetroWord View Post
What?
Well, I consider a Trump presidency the equivalent of a bullet to the temple. If Nate Silver's calculations hold, a few weeks back our chances were about half - or, in Russian roulette terms, the cylinder held 3 bullets. The latest Trump drop in polls puts the risk about 1/3 - or - again in Russian roulette terms - 2 bullets. Which is better, but still not that great.
 
Old 10-03-2016, 10:07 AM
 
10,513 posts, read 5,163,063 times
Reputation: 14056
Quote:
Originally Posted by scgraham View Post
" WASHINGTON Oct. 1 (UPI) — The UPI/CVoter daily presidential tracking poll released Saturday shows Donald Trump leading Hillary Clinton by nearly 2 percentage points.

The online poll shows Trump with 49.31 percent, to Clinton’s 47.34 percent."
Sorry, I can't take the UPI/CVoter poll seriously. They say in their press release

"Because the poll is conducted online and individuals self-select to participate, a margin of error cannot be calculated."

Self-selected online polls are garbage, IMHO. Same thing with the instant online polls right after the debate.
 
Old 10-03-2016, 10:08 AM
 
11,186 posts, read 6,503,406 times
Reputation: 4622
Quote:
Originally Posted by jjrose View Post
But, the momentum!!! The surge!!!!
He had momentum ... until the debate, which he lost. There's nothing like taking Miss Piggy's name in vain to lose the big mo. There's time to turn it back in his favor.

Even with his debate loss, the Real Clear Politics map has him within winning Florida of winning the electoral vote.
 
Old 10-03-2016, 11:14 AM
 
11,988 posts, read 5,290,915 times
Reputation: 7284
Colorado (Monmouth)

Clinton:49%
Trump:38%
Johnson:7%
Stein:3%




Monmouth University
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