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Old 12-22-2023, 09:39 AM
 
29,505 posts, read 19,602,720 times
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Blowtorch








Hopefully this isn't just a model fantasy


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Old 12-22-2023, 10:07 AM
 
Location: Centre Wellington, ON
5,889 posts, read 6,088,552 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ral31 View Post
Temps are looking cooler for Christmas and precip chances down. Wunderground now shows 62/39F Christmas Day and highs in the 50's and lows in the 30's the remainder of next week afterward.

Christmas Eve still looking wet (1 - 1.5" of rain forecast) with high of 65F.
We're supposed to get a messy mix that might include up to about 1" of snow overnight, but with the forecast suggests it'll melt by Christmas morning due to temps in the 40s.

Dec 22: 32F/25F
Dec 23: 36F/34F
Dec 24: 41F/37F
Dec 25: 48F/43F
Dec 26: 45F/39F
Dec 27: 41F/34F
Dec 28: 37F/28F
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Old 12-22-2023, 10:30 AM
 
Location: Zagreb
89 posts, read 43,962 times
Reputation: 49
Many parts of NH will be blowtorched this week:





Siberia/Russia is straight up on a flamethrower mode :

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Old 12-22-2023, 11:13 AM
 
29,505 posts, read 19,602,720 times
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Backloaded winter which almost certainly will last through a good part of March


Trend toward negative global wind anomalies by second half of 11-15 day may open door for cooler to colder U.S. volatility, particularly targeting January 12th EIA week





https://x.com/commoditywx/status/173...527991769?s=20





https://x.com/commoditywx/status/173...941860372?s=20
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Old 12-22-2023, 12:22 PM
 
Location: Saskatoon - Saskatchewan, Canada
826 posts, read 864,415 times
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Cold in Eastern Asia lately. Hong Kong had temperatures close to 10°C/50°F all day in the last days. Shanghai is having sub-freezing highs. Still impresses me how cold it can get in such low latitudes around there.

Here in Saskatoon it will keep extremely above average until at least the last day of the year. The warmest December ever recorded was in 1997 with an average of -5.7°C. December 2023 has an average of -4.7°C by now. It’s gonna break the record.
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Old 12-22-2023, 12:39 PM
 
30,395 posts, read 21,215,773 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post
Backloaded winter which almost certainly will last through a good part of March


Trend toward negative global wind anomalies by second half of 11-15 day may open door for cooler to colder U.S. volatility, particularly targeting January 12th EIA week





https://x.com/commoditywx/status/173...527991769?s=20





https://x.com/commoditywx/status/173...941860372?s=20
No cold for FL or much rain this winter.
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Old 12-22-2023, 07:06 PM
 
29,505 posts, read 19,602,720 times
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Rain today. High was 46F/8C here 47F at Midway and 45F at ORD.


Quote:
Originally Posted by LKJ1988 View Post
No cold for FL or much rain this winter.
You sure about that?




I also like what I'm seeing with the retrograde of that big warm anomaly over Canada we need to bring people going westward. Looks like a very stormy pattern
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Old 12-23-2023, 04:29 AM
 
30,395 posts, read 21,215,773 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post
Rain today. High was 46F/8C here 47F at Midway and 45F at ORD.




You sure about that?




I also like what I'm seeing with the retrograde of that big warm anomaly over Canada we need to bring people going westward. Looks like a very stormy pattern
Have not seen 1980's winters since the 1980's when temps were 19 to 24f in Tampa 6 years in a row.

Now if i get down to 22f and a high of 41f then i will call that cold. I have been happy with the weather the last 3 weeks as no 80's . I don't mind 70's in Dec but 80's is insane like it was in Dec of 1988. Then BOOM Dec 1989 was very active and cold. But once 1990 got here it changed for good to warm.

Give anything if this was Xmas of 1983 when a super front came thru in the am and we went from 60's to 19f in under 20 hours and winds were 45 knts and a high of 38f in Tampa. Now that was real winters.
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Old 12-23-2023, 11:24 AM
 
2,815 posts, read 1,405,653 times
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Today marks the one year anniversary of the somewhat widespread December 23 2022 'great performance' first frosts in the Southeast US. Some places already got frost (although with good performances), others are still going.

In stark contrast there is excellent warmth monitoring today. Warm highs in the teens and 20s pretty much everywhere, and a lot of double digit lows too.
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Old 12-23-2023, 08:00 PM
 
Location: Boilermaker Territory
26,404 posts, read 46,544,081 times
Reputation: 19539
Time to toss the GFS model out for awhile, less than zero run to run consistently. Euro model has been better per usual.
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