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The meteorologists on the news here in Columbia are saying 3-5 inches for Columbia and 5-10+ for the upstate. We haven't had a 4"+ snowfall in March in Columbia since 1980 and we haven't had a 4"+ snowfall overall since 2002.
Well i could live with that. But it sounds pretty iffy to me still, at least for a snowfall of that magnitude. They are not talking about a changeover until after 4pm, and then an end by 1:00am for the upstate. That is roughly 8-9 hours of snow, but it will take time for accumulation to start. As for your guarantee Gman, i remember once when i was a kid going to bed one night and it was 98% chance of like 8 inches and we never even had more than a couple of flurries.
As usual, everywhere you look has vastly different amounts forcasted. I have seen as little as an inch for the upstate to as much as ten predicted. 10 would be a big snow for us. The last time we had anything close was in Feb 2004 when GSP got 8.3 inches, though Rock Hill had like 2 feet!
For comparison, as per the NOAA website for Memphis, they have had generally 5-8 inches, with as much as 12 inches in Wilson MS, and 16 somewhere in MO. Also, the NC Triad has been upgraded to a warning already based on indications of higher precip amounts and a faster changeover.
The temps are falling though, down to 38 -41 for much of the northern upstate now.
I predict 3-5 inches for most of the upstate with higher amounts in the eastern part and where the heavy snow band sets up. This has the same general set up as the February 2004 storm. Everything is coming together now.
That sounds a little more reasonable. I looked at the WIS website that Waccamatt refereed to. Though I like it very much, it is by far the most optimistic forecast I have seen. NOAA has only about half the amounts listed for each area, with only 2-4 for Greenville proper (with 3-5 NE burbs, ie Taylors, Greer, TR), and only about 1 for COla proper with more N and W burbs.
It's off the NAM model so it's hard to say how accurate it could be. Not sure where WIS-TV is getting their snow prediction amount from but I for one hope they're right.
That sounds a little more reasonable. I looked at the WIS website that Waccamatt refereed to. Though I like it very much, it is by far the most optimistic forecast I have seen. NOAA has only about half the amounts listed for each area, with only 2-4 for Greenville proper (with 3-5 NE burbs, ie Taylors, Greer, TR), and only about 1 for COla proper with more N and W burbs.
I think the changeover is going to be earlier than expected. The temps are already down to the upper 30's in the Upstate and the low 40's in the Midlands so the changeover may occur several hours earlier than previously expected. The temps are also already down to the mid 30's in the Charlotte area.
The upper level low that will bring the snow looks to be getting stronger when you look at the satellite/radar. It needs to begin to turn toward the northeast now for us to get a lot of snow. Based on the moisture we are getting now, the temps that are now already in the mid 30's and the strengthening upper level low, I am predicting 5 inches for Greenville and more as you go toward Charlotte. It is supposed to get down to the mid to upper 20's tonight so this stuff will make the roads nasty for travel in the morning. It's going to be a fun day!
The NOAA predictions have been changed quite a bit from last night. They are now expecting the heaviest upstate accums just to the south in 85, from Greenwood through gray court and to the NE with 3-5 expected. only predicting 1-3 to the north now. Charlotte area expecting 4-8.
THE bulk of the precip seemms to be tracking a little further south and East of us.
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