Destruction of LA by earthquake coming soon! (San Diego, Oakland: power lines, university)

[turbodiesel4x4]

Originally Posted by Lovehound

Actually I'm not sure if you were replying to my post, but your reply gave me the idea to link it. There was no link before.

Thanks, but I was talking about the OP's link. I should have been more specific.

[Fontucky]

Originally Posted by SoCalBrad

lol I hate when people correct my spelling. It drives me nuts

You shouldn't have told me that...

[BacktoBlue]

Originally Posted by Fontucky

You shouldn't have told me that...

why?

[bigdumbgod]

Boring thread! Needs a biblical-quality earthquake!

[BacktoBlue]

Originally Posted by bigdumbgod

Boring thread! Needs a biblical-quality earthquake!

like a 9.0? lol

[MattSteeleLA]

Okay... a couple of things:

1. First of all, the San Andreas fault (the fault that the OP article is referring to) is a strike-slip fault, which means that if it fires-off, the two land masses slide sideways, as opposed to the Pacific side dropping into the ocean. The upshot is that we'll all be about 30 feet closer to San Francisco.

2. While science can't forecast earthquakes, they can make reasonable, long-term predictions based on the observation of unrelieved stresses between the plates on either side of the fault. In the case of the OP article, there is approximately 10 meters (30 feet) of stress built-up along a 100+ mile section of the fault.

In addition, this section shows a pattern of large movements approximately every 150 years, and the last such movement along the southern section was in 1857 (which puts us at 153 years). The reason this is alarming is that while a magnitude 8 earthquake seems like a lot, it is far more damaging when the magnitude is spread out along 100+ miles of fault line.

When she blows, it WILL be a bad day. Here's the simulation done at Cal Tech:

YouTube - ShakeOut Earthquake Scenario Shaking Simulation

I used to own a home about 1000 yards from the San Andreas in Palmdale. I became informed on the subject only after buying it

[BRinSM]

so much for full disclosure!

[californio sur]

Originally Posted by MattSteeleLA

Okay... a couple of things:

1. First of all, the San Andreas fault (the fault that the OP article is referring to) is a strike-slip fault, which means that if it fires-off, the two land masses slide sideways, as opposed to the Pacific side dropping into the ocean. The upshot is that we'll all be about 30 feet closer to San Francisco.

2. While science can't forecast earthquakes, they can make reasonable, long-term predictions based on the observation of unrelieved stresses between the plates on either side of the fault. In the case of the OP article, there is approximately 10 meters (30 feet) of stress built-up along a 100+ mile section of the fault.

In addition, this section shows a pattern of large movements approximately every 150 years, and the last such movement along the southern section was in 1857 (which puts us at 153 years). The reason this is alarming is that while a magnitude 8 earthquake seems like a lot, it is far more damaging when the magnitude is spread out along 100+ miles of fault line.

When she blows, it WILL be a bad day. Here's the simulation done at Cal Tech:

YouTube - ShakeOut Earthquake Scenario Shaking Simulation

I used to own a home about 1000 yards from the San Andreas in Palmdale. I became informed on the subject only after buying it

Fascinating but frightening video. I am curious why the force of a massive earthquake on the San Andreas fault in the Imperial valley would send it's energy north rather than south? Also there are sections of intensified shaking over the LA basin and Orange county coastal plain as well as the Santa Clarita valley from LA county into Ventura county. Is this due to liquefaction? If that scenario were to play out, it would be a devastating earthquake for San Bernardino, Riverside, Orange, Los Angeles, Ventura, Santa Barbara and Kern counties.

[Cyanna]

When it comes down to it there is very little we can do about a major earthquake or any other natural disaster. The older I get the less I worry about the POSSIBILITY of this type of scenario happening. I only worry about those things or situations I can actually change. One day I AM going to die, whether it be by earthquake, car accident, the 2012 End of the World prediction, or quietly in my sleep. Whatever. Until that time comes I am going to LIVE life without worrying about "could happens."

[californio sur]

Originally Posted by Cyanna

When it comes down to it there is very little we can do about a major earthquake or any other natural disaster. The older I get the less I worry about the POSSIBILITY of this type of scenario happening. I only worry about those things or situations I can actually change. One day I AM going to die, whether it be by earthquake, car accident, the 2012 End of the World prediction, or quietly in my sleep. Whatever. Until that time comes I am going to LIVE life without worrying about "could happens."

Good point but if I had my choice I would rather be home during a major earthquake and take my chances there than on some freeway overpass or in a high-rise downtown.