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Old 09-06-2017, 08:43 AM
 
Location: Tampa, FL
27,798 posts, read 32,519,677 times
Reputation: 14611

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Quote:
Originally Posted by sinatras View Post
I feel a lot more relaxed today with these eastern shifts. Maybe relaxing is a mistake.
I was prepared to head up to AL this a.m. but the news changed my plans and will hunker down. Hope I'm not wrong. Feels like Russian Roulette.

 
Old 09-06-2017, 09:02 AM
 
Location: St. Pete, FL
745 posts, read 1,586,515 times
Reputation: 681
Yea I'm prepared to drive north too, but it seems it's shifting east.
 
Old 09-06-2017, 09:12 AM
 
Location: South Tampa, Maui, Paris
4,501 posts, read 3,879,414 times
Reputation: 5378
Even bigger shift now
Attached Thumbnails
Irma! Are you prepared for this storm that seems to be heading out way!-cone.png  
 
Old 09-06-2017, 09:44 AM
 
Location: -"`-._,-'"`-._, ☀ Sunny Florida ☀ ,-"`-._,-'"`-.
1,357 posts, read 1,250,535 times
Reputation: 1324
Quote:
Originally Posted by sinatras View Post
Even bigger shift now
Yea, and this latest model from AW shows now as Cat 3 by time it gets to US. Keep those fingers crossed it stays east and intensity throttles down....

 
Old 09-06-2017, 10:04 AM
 
5,687 posts, read 7,207,036 times
Reputation: 4327
Quote:
Originally Posted by BucFan View Post
I guess anybody coming to CDF for info is probably clueless and out in rightfield, but for the record here's the straight poop so you're not confused.

From Hurricane Tracking and Hurricane coverage from MyFoxHurricane.com | Powered by FOX 13 News and the FOX Network


Time for some late night/early morning Irma analysis! (4 hrs ago).

The Euro and the GFS are back to being pretty much being on the same page!

We saw hints of a track shift to the east on Tuesday. Now the overnight runs of both the EURO and the GFS have as least temporarily agreed on a track very near or just off the east coast. This makes sense because the ridge steering Irma appears to be a bit weaker allowing the turn to occur sooner rather than later. More than likely the National Hurricane Center will follow suit and adjust their forecast track at least a little bit to the east. Remember, just 50 miles makes a huge difference. You all remember Matthew's trip off the coast last year. It was not a good scene on the immediate east coast, but the weather was markedly better as you moved west across Florida. I am not going to say this is it. We are good. Let's all sit tight and see how things play out today before we get too excited. We need to see consistency. East is better for the Tampa Bay are, but for Florida's sake, we have to hope the storm stays offshore. The model tracks are dangerously close to big population centers along the east coast. Unfortunately, it does look like Irma will hit South Carolina middle of next week. Valid time of graphics below is Sunday evening. Euro top. GFS bottom.

Paul Dellegatto
https://www.facebook.com/paul.dellegattofox/
Dellegatto was hinting at this on one of his reports yesterday evening, although he couldn't come right out and say it. Of all the weather folks in this area, I trust him the most. I remember him saying something like "There are many places this storm can go, it doesn't have to be Tampa." He seems to know a lot about the models and one point he made is that we have a better idea of what's going to happen when the Euro and the GFS begin to merge into agreement.
 
Old 09-06-2017, 10:16 AM
 
Location: Tampa
440 posts, read 597,205 times
Reputation: 532
Well they just rolled down the storm shudders here at work in preparation, although i think it may be a little premature. Now the office is really dark
 
Old 09-06-2017, 10:31 AM
 
Location: South Carolina
14,784 posts, read 24,133,354 times
Reputation: 27094
yes and they are now predicting that the storm will go straight up florida and it is does no one is safe because it is 400 miles wide . then if it goes east we in south Carolina mainly Charleston low country are in trouble . we live more inland so all we will most likely get is rains and heavy winds . so guess I will bungee cord my grill to my deck and bring my deck chairs inside tonight or on Saturday .
 
Old 09-06-2017, 10:57 AM
 
Location: Tampa Bay Area Florida
7,937 posts, read 20,408,399 times
Reputation: 2027
they are reporting a possible direct hit to the East Coast however the Cone will still be in or over florida and all parts of the state will still be effected but Yes good news is tropical winds and not hurricane winds...The Euro Model comes out at 2Pm
 
Old 09-06-2017, 10:59 AM
 
65 posts, read 71,471 times
Reputation: 57
Both Tampa and Pinellas cancelled school for tomorrow and Friday. I live off Gandy in a flood zone. Never been here for a hurricane. Any idea where I should go?
 
Old 09-06-2017, 11:05 AM
 
Location: Tampa Bay Area Florida
7,937 posts, read 20,408,399 times
Reputation: 2027
Mike's Weather Page
4 mins
Latest 12z GFS from tropicaltidbits.com. Flip-floping back to the west some. Skirts whole east coast of FL this time heading towards GA/SC. Still showing a deepening system near the Bahamas. Still showing possible expansion. Expecting EURO to trend close to this and maybe a tad bit more west. We will see soon. And yes that is Jose following behind. Will he influence his big sister is my question. Mike's Weather Page... powered by Sparks Energy! / Mikes Weather Page APP
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