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Old 05-04-2014, 09:21 PM
 
2,598 posts, read 4,926,746 times
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Why are there so many threads about Houston passing Chicago in twenty, thirty, or forty years? Why does this seem so important to Houston boosters? Really? I guarantee you, no one I know in Chicago has EVER mentioned this....EVER. Doesn't seem to be on anyone's mind, except those whose wet dream it is, for Houston to pass Chicago. Good grief.
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Old 05-04-2014, 11:07 PM
 
Location: Washington D.C. By way of Texas
20,516 posts, read 33,544,005 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by NowInWI View Post
Why are there so many threads about Houston passing Chicago in twenty, thirty, or forty years? Why does this seem so important to Houston boosters? Really? I guarantee you, no one I know in Chicago has EVER mentioned this....EVER. Doesn't seem to be on anyone's mind, except those whose wet dream it is, for Houston to pass Chicago. Good grief.
Are Houston boosters really starting these threads? I don't think Houston residents honestly care themselves.
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Old 05-04-2014, 11:20 PM
 
Location: Upper West Side, Manhattan, NYC
15,323 posts, read 23,923,075 times
Reputation: 7419
Quote:
Originally Posted by Spade View Post
Are Houston boosters really starting these threads? I don't think Houston residents honestly care themselves.
Residents of all cities don't normally give a damn about pretty much anything discussed on City Data. I know exactly 0 residents of either Houston or Chicago who actually care about which place in population rankings either city is and where it will be.
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Old 05-05-2014, 08:40 AM
 
Location: Upper West Side, Manhattan, NYC
15,323 posts, read 23,923,075 times
Reputation: 7419
Quote:
Originally Posted by California Skeleton View Post
Chicago's in decline. Has the worst economy in the US
While it's not amazing, it still has the 3rd highest GDP, and the metro area had the most corporate relocations/expansions to the area in 2013
https://www.worldbusinesschicago.com...amed-top-metro

Quote:
and has lost 1 million people since it's peak only after Detroit.
It's funny how people use homicide rate, but can't use percent change in population. As you'll see below, the Metro area has almost 5 million more people today than 1950. However, let's look at percent decline. These are from the peak years of a city which was usually 1950 or 1960 of cities that were at least 250,000 people at the peak:

1. St. Louis - 62.7%
2. Detroit - 61.4%
3. Cleveland - 56.6%
4. Pittsburgh - 54.8%
5. Buffalo - 53.4%
6. Dayton - 46.1%
7. New Orleans - 45.2%
8. Cincinnati - 41.1%
9. Birmingham, AL - 37.7%
10. Newark, NJ - 37.3%
11. Rochester, NY - 36.7%
12. Baltimore - 34.6%
13. Akron - 34.5%
14. Providence - 29.6%
15. Minneapolis - 26.7%
16. Philadelphia - 26.3%
17. Chicago - 25.6%
18. Washington DC - 25%

Chicago and DC have almost the same percent loss of population, and Boston at about 23% is not far behind.


Quote:
Originally Posted by California Skeleton View Post
It's metro gains are 20k a year
Wrong. Here's Chicago MSA population per census:

1950: 5,495,364
1960: 6,794,461
1970: 7,612,314
1980: 7,869,542
1990: 8,065,633
2000: 9,098,316
2010: 9,461,105

Chicago has almost 5 million more people in its MSA now versus 1950. If you work that out, it's almost 70,000 people gained per year on average since 1950.

Quote:
Has the second worst murder rate for metro after Philly.
Wrong on both fronts. Philly doesn't have the worst homicide rate and Chicago is not second. These are the rankings for 2012:

1. Detroit - 54.6 per 100k people
2. New Orleans - 53.2
3. St. Louis - 35.5
4. Baltimore - 34.9
5. Newark, NJ - 34.4
6. Oakland - 31.8
7. Stockton, CA - 23.7
8. Kansas City - 22.6
9. Philadelphia - 21.5
10. Cleveland - 21.3
11. Memphis - 20.2
12. Atlanta - 19
13. Chicago - 18.5

Furthermore, 2012 was a peak year in the last 5 for Chicago. 2013 saw 101 fewer homicides than 2012 which would place it even lower on the above list down 3-5 more spots. Even so, the rate is 3X lower than that of Detroit's and would almost need to double to be in the top 5, especially versus what 2008-2011 and 2013 were. The homicide rate has also been cut in half since the late 1980s and early 1990s. Still a problem, but nowhere near as dangerous as it used to be.

FBI — Offenses Known to Law Enforcement

Last edited by marothisu; 05-05-2014 at 08:58 AM..
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Old 05-05-2014, 08:40 AM
 
Location: Maryland
4,675 posts, read 7,405,419 times
Reputation: 5363
Quote:
Originally Posted by California Skeleton View Post
Chicago's in decline. Has the worst economy in the US and has lost 1 million people since it's peak only after Detroit. It's metro gains are 20k a year. Has the second worst murder rate for metro after Philly. Flat, midwestern, blue collar, crime, decline, etc

It's pathetic and should be surpassed
Translation: "I know nothing about Chicago except for perceptions I glean from 24-hour 'news' television and internet forums..."
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Old 05-05-2014, 09:28 AM
 
Location: Upper West Side, Manhattan, NYC
15,323 posts, read 23,923,075 times
Reputation: 7419
If the current rate of residents per year added to both metros were to stay constant, this is when Houston will overtake Chicago in population:

MSA: 2044
City: 2040

But as we know, population projection many years into the future is pretty hard so who knows.
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Old 05-05-2014, 09:54 AM
 
2,504 posts, read 3,377,650 times
Reputation: 2703
All of this discussion about crime really ignores the elephant in the room and that is demographics. The racial element in murder rates is pretty consistent around the country. In Chicago, there are roughly equal percentages of blacks and whites, around a third each. In 2012, there were 47 white murder victims and 392 black murder victims. Per 100,000 that comes out to a rate of about 5/100,000 whites and 44/100,000 blacks.

The murder/violence issue in America really isn't about cities...it's about different communities within those cities.
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Old 05-05-2014, 11:46 AM
 
976 posts, read 1,057,859 times
Reputation: 1505
Quote:
Originally Posted by fusion2 View Post
If Houston does overtake Chicago in population I hope there is a lot more densification and urbanization so that the number 3 city proper in the U.S feels like number 3 and not like number 14
Fusion, have you been keeping up with the rapid urbanization phase that is happening in Houston right NOW? Especially in the CBD and other already walkable parts of the city. This will only boost inner loop population and density. Here's a link to a map showing all of the activity:

Houston Developments - devmap.io
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Old 05-05-2014, 12:04 PM
 
92 posts, read 113,407 times
Reputation: 174
Quote:
Originally Posted by H'ton View Post
Fusion, have you been keeping up with the rapid urbanization phase that is happening in Houston right NOW? Especially in the CBD and other already walkable parts of the city. This will only boost inner loop population and density. Here's a link to a map showing all of the activity:

Houston Developments - devmap.io
It is no where even close and Houston would basically have to tear down and start again to reach the urbanity of chicago
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Old 05-05-2014, 12:08 PM
 
Location: Washington D.C. By way of Texas
20,516 posts, read 33,544,005 times
Reputation: 12152
Quote:
Originally Posted by ViolentMimes View Post
It is no where even close and Houston would basically have to tear down and start again to reach the urbanity of chicago
That wasn't his point on posting that. I knew somebody would try to downplay what's going on in Houston after his post.
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