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Old 09-22-2016, 08:06 AM
 
Location: North America
14,204 posts, read 12,279,947 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by marino760 View Post
Here are the latest:

Rasmussen, Clinton 39 - Trump 44
ARG, Clinton 47 - Trump 44
USC/LA Times Cinton 42 - Trump 46
Ipsos - Clinton 37 - Trump 39

The NBC poll is proving to be way out of wack that was talked about yesterday.
They are still in a virtual dead heat for popular vote. Polltracker has Clinton up just 1.1 percent. Not much of a comeback for Clinton so far.
She has gained about a point back in total. Not much, but this election is going to be close like 2000 was I feel.

 
Old 09-22-2016, 08:07 AM
 
17,342 posts, read 11,277,677 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ponderosa View Post
Whew. Trump down to only 2 in the reliably pro-Trump LA Times? The wheels are coming off.
Actually it's 4. We can all see Trump is holding his own and everything is virtually tied at this point with Clinton not really gaining back any ground she lost last week overall.
 
Old 09-22-2016, 08:08 AM
 
Location: North America
14,204 posts, read 12,279,947 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ponderosa View Post
Whew. Trump down to only 2 in the reliably pro-Trump LA Times? The wheels are coming off.
The poll is good for trends and not much else. It's not really saying much other than things are trending slighting towards her. Wouldn't be surprised if it shifts back to Trump in a few days though.
 
Old 09-22-2016, 08:09 AM
 
17,342 posts, read 11,277,677 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ~HecateWhisperCat~ View Post
The poll is good for trends and not much else. It's not really saying much other than things are trending slighting towards her. Wouldn't be surprised if it shifts back to Trump in a few days though.
I realize that. Just responding to Ponderosa's wrong information about the 2 points.
 
Old 09-22-2016, 08:10 AM
 
Location: North America
14,204 posts, read 12,279,947 times
Reputation: 5565
Quote:
Originally Posted by marino760 View Post
I realize that. Just responding to Ponderosa's wrong information about the 2 points.
I was responding to him though xD.
 
Old 09-22-2016, 08:11 AM
 
Location: Sonoran Desert
39,078 posts, read 51,231,444 times
Reputation: 28324
Quote:
Originally Posted by ~HecateWhisperCat~ View Post
No, because the polling is slightly in her favor and she is maintaining her firewall. Polling this morning has her up 7 in Virginia, Up 9 in Colorado, up 7 in Wisconsin, and tied in NC. That doesn't fit the narrative of the trend running against her. It doesn't fit the narrative that the trend is running against Trump either. It's a very close election right now. My guess is that undecideds will start declaring after the first debate or two. However, it's possible they won't until the election is nearly here or they won't at all. It's possible that we won't know until election day itself.
It's coming down to what we always thought it would: turnout. Clinton leads by a large margin in all the demographics needed to assure a relatively easy victory in November. But will they vote? I saw today that latino enthusiasm is lukewarm once again. Dems seem confident that their ground game will get the voters to the polls.
 
Old 09-22-2016, 08:12 AM
 
Location: North America
14,204 posts, read 12,279,947 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by marino760 View Post
Actually it's 4. We can all see Trump is holding his own and everything is virtually tied at this point with Clinton not really gaining back any ground she lost last week overall.
No, he's right. He is only up by 2.4 points in that poll as of this morning.
 
Old 09-22-2016, 08:12 AM
 
Location: Sonoran Desert
39,078 posts, read 51,231,444 times
Reputation: 28324
Quote:
Originally Posted by marino760 View Post
Actually it's 4. We can all see Trump is holding his own and everything is virtually tied at this point with Clinton not really gaining back any ground she lost last week overall.
RCP says 2 this morning. It was 4 yesterday. Cut in half in only a day!
 
Old 09-22-2016, 08:13 AM
 
Location: North America
14,204 posts, read 12,279,947 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ponderosa View Post
It's coming down to what we always thought it would: turnout. Clinton leads by a large margin in all the demographics needed to assure a relatively easy victory in November. But will they vote? I saw today that latino enthusiasm is lukewarm once again. Dems seem confident that their ground game will get the voters to the polls.
And there is some evidence supporting that. NC for example has Democratic absentee ballot requests about 30 percent higher than in 2012 but the GOP requests have fallen slightly. Might be a short term trend but it might also be a sign of a superior ground game as well.
 
Old 09-22-2016, 08:14 AM
 
17,342 posts, read 11,277,677 times
Reputation: 40973
Quote:
Originally Posted by ~HecateWhisperCat~ View Post
No, he's right. He is only up by 2.4 points in that poll as of this morning.
Thanks, I was looking at yesterday.
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