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The states listed most important to Trump (the states that if Trump doesn't carry, he has the lowest statistical probability of reaching 270 electoral votes) were:
1. Iowa (5% chance of reaching 270 without it)
2. Ohio (5%)
3. Florida (6%)
4. North Carolina (9%)
5. Nevada (13%)
If Trump takes those 5 states, plus holding the safe R states, he'll have 265 electoral votes.
He'll need to get at least 4 (to tie at 269-269 and send the election to the R House) more electoral votes out of the following contestable states, which are also listed in order of probability.
New Hampshire
Colorado
Michigan
Wisconsin
Pennsylvania
Virginia
Minnesota
Maine (balance of the state)
New Mexico
Trump's in position to grab the low hanging fruit, but even if Trump sweeps all five it will be for naught unless he can turn one more state.
Status:
"Smartened up and walked away!"
(set 25 days ago)
11,780 posts, read 5,789,903 times
Reputation: 14201
Had the polls been in line with the other polls shown - I may.... give it some credence - but as they have her ahead by 4x as much as the other polls - I don't think so.
The states listed most important to Trump (the states that if Trump doesn't carry, he has the lowest statistical probability of reaching 270 electoral votes) were:
1. Iowa (5% chance of reaching 270 without it)
2. Ohio (5%)
3. Florida (6%)
4. North Carolina (9%)
5. Nevada (13%)
If Trump takes those 5 states, plus holding the safe R states, he'll have 265 electoral votes.
He'll need to get at least 4 (to tie at 269-269 and send the election to the R House) more electoral votes out of the following contestable states, which are also listed in order of probability.
New Hampshire
Colorado
Michigan
Wisconsin
Pennsylvania
Virginia
Minnesota
Maine (balance of the state)
New Mexico
So even, if Trump sweeps all five it will be for naught unless he can turn one more state.
Create their own reality to make non belivers give up hope.
there cannot be enough stunted and bewildered voters that would consciously cast a vote for hillary.
Sounds like ya'll are using that Republican math again. It didn't work for Karl Rove.
Quote:
Originally Posted by sware2cod
For the past 2 weeks the Trump followers were posting every poll while bragging about Trump moving upward.
Now that momentum has again switched against Trump, the Trump followers again find fault with the polls.
Yep. You can set a clock by it.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rescue3
Is this the same NBC that hired Chelsea Clinton as a cub reporter on a four year contract at $645,000 per year?
'Nuff said.
No. It's the same NBC that hired Jenna Bush to do some fluff pieces at an exorbitant sum.
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