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Who knows. Monmouth and Fox had GA at +3 Trump and +4 Trump in the last week or so, and those must be within or close to MoE. It's too early for a premature celebration.
Who knows. Monmouth and Fox had GA at +3 Trump and +4 Trump in the last week or so, and those must be within or close to MoE. It's too early for a premature celebration.
Mick
538 has Trump 85.6% to win GA. That's a little worse than Hillary's chances to win NJ (89.4%).
Slight pull back in Clinton's favor in the 538 models, though still a narrower margin than prior to Trump's last spike
Polls- Plus. Clinton up by 2.0% with a 59.9% chance to win. Trump holds all of the Romney states, adds IA OH, FL,NV & ME-2. Nevada is the closest state with Trump up by 0.2%
Polls Only- Clinton up by 2.2% with a 60.5% chance to win. Trump holds all of the Romney states, adds IA, OH, FL NV & ME-2. Nevada again the closest state with a 0.2% margin for Trump
Now Cast- Clinton up by 2.3% with a 61.5% chance to win. Map remains the same as the other two models with Trump holding all the Romney states and winning IA, OH, FL, NV & ME-2
In all three models Nevada and Florida were within one point
Yeah that's interesting because that's the 3rd poll this week with that kind of lead. Could simply be a blip or the start of a new trend. Won't know until next week I imagine though.
It's back where it was. We should see state polling coming around next week, although the debate could have an impact there for a while. Ohio is said to be representative of the country. It is not going to be 10-13 points different.
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