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Kinda hilarious how it goes from an average of 1 point to 1.5 points (largely due to the NBC poll) and the Hillbots are screaming about a momentum shift. They'll throw a temper tantrum if you question the one poll they like.
Could someone please explain to me how the polls work in the state of Maine? One poll shows Hillary +11 and another shows Trump +11.
Maine and Nebraska issue 2 EV's to the winner of the state, and 1 EV to the winner of each district.
In the case of Maine, the state itself is Democratic leaning (and the vast majority of the polls have Clinton ahead), however the polls in the 1st district (which is generally the southern and more densely populated part of the state) have Clinton ahead by 11-22 points, the polls in the 2nd show a small Trump lead to him up by 11.
The 1st district is traditionally a bit more Democratic than the 2nd, although typically not enough to make a difference. However, this year considering Trump doing a bit better with the rural white working class, and struggling a bit with the white college educated middle class, the difference between the 1st & 2nd appears to be larger than previous history.
Maine and Nebraska issue 2 EV's to the winner of the state, and 1 EV to the winner of each district.
In the case of Maine, the state itself is Democratic leaning (and the vast majority of the polls have Clinton ahead), however the polls in the 1st district (which is generally the southern and more densely populated part of the state) have Clinton ahead by 11-22 points, the polls in the 2nd show a small Trump lead to him up by 11.
The 1st district is traditionally a bit more Democratic than the 2nd, although typically not enough to make a difference. However, this year considering Trump doing a bit better with the rural white working class, and struggling a bit with the white college educated middle class, the difference between the 1st & 2nd appears to be larger than previous history.
kinda hilarious how it goes from an average of 1 point to 1.5 points (largely due to the nbc poll) and the hillbots are screaming about a momentum shift. They'll throw a temper tantrum if you question the one poll they like.
Kinda hilarious how it goes from an average of 1 point to 1.5 points (largely due to the NBC poll) and the Hillbots are screaming about a momentum shift. They'll throw a temper tantrum if you question the one poll they like.
Let's be fair -- trashing polls is done by both sides. Even Trump himself does it.
That's Clinton up from Trump +3 a week ago. Looks like the Trump Bump is over.
I don't know...latest polls have Trump within 3% in WI, up 3% in NV, up 5% in OH and up 5% (and +2 PPP) in NC.
Nationally, it's about a tie - CVoter, Reuters, YouGov, CBS/NYT, Rasmussen and Fox all have it within about 2%. NBC has Clinton up big, but LA Times/USC has Trump up big.
The major story here is that it's about a coin flip at this point. Trump has made up A LOT of ground in 1 month. I wouldn't expect him to continue improving at that rate...that would mean absolute blow out on Election Day. However, he's in a spot now where if the polls move a little in a few states, the polls will have him over 50% to win. Again, 1 month ago we weren't even having this discussion.
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