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Old 09-20-2016, 01:09 PM
 
Location: North America
14,204 posts, read 12,286,655 times
Reputation: 5565

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https://twitter.com/PpollingNumbers/...07063487328257

 
Old 09-20-2016, 01:10 PM
 
10,513 posts, read 5,169,235 times
Reputation: 14056
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ponderosa View Post
Monmouth Florida + 5:

Clinton 46
Trump 41
Johnson 6
Stein 1
This is one of the very best polls, rated A+ by 538. 200 landline and 200 cell phone, adjusted for age, gender, race and party, adjusted to match most recent census data.

If Clinton takes PA and FL it will be a very long night for Trump.
 
Old 09-20-2016, 01:14 PM
 
Location: North America
14,204 posts, read 12,286,655 times
Reputation: 5565
Quote:
Originally Posted by Elliott_CA View Post
This is one of the very best polls, rated A+ by 538. 200 landline and 200 cell phone, adjusted for age, gender, race and party, adjusted to match most recent census data.

If Clinton takes PA and FL it will be a very long night for Trump.
Yeah, of course. I suspect we will not really have a clear view until next month though. There are some signs it's potentially leaning more towards Clinton though. Whether or not those trends remain won't be clear for a bit.
 
Old 09-20-2016, 01:18 PM
 
Location: North America
14,204 posts, read 12,286,655 times
Reputation: 5565
Honestly this is the most volatile election that I have ever seen.
 
Old 09-20-2016, 01:52 PM
 
Location: Caverns measureless to man...
7,588 posts, read 6,631,916 times
Reputation: 17966
Quote:
Originally Posted by Elliott_CA View Post
This is one of the very best polls, rated A+ by 538. 200 landline and 200 cell phone, adjusted for age, gender, race and party, adjusted to match most recent census data.

If Clinton takes PA and FL it will be a very long night for Trump.
Actually, a short night. Both of them are in the East. We may know a lot by 10 PM Eastern time.



Quote:
Originally Posted by ~HecateWhisperCat~ View Post
Honestly this is the most volatile election that I have ever seen.
And the most depressing.
 
Old 09-20-2016, 02:15 PM
 
5,731 posts, read 2,195,016 times
Reputation: 3877
Quote:
Originally Posted by Elliott_CA View Post
This is one of the very best polls, rated A+ by 538. 200 landline and 200 cell phone, adjusted for age, gender, race and party, adjusted to match most recent census data.

If Clinton takes PA and FL it will be a very long night for Trump.
There is no way Clinton takes Florida, I would wager large amounts of money on it
 
Old 09-20-2016, 02:20 PM
 
16,376 posts, read 22,494,081 times
Reputation: 14398
Quote:
Originally Posted by ColoradoOnMyMind View Post
There is no way Clinton takes Florida, I would wager large amounts of money on it
Think about Florida. It has been close for the past several presidential elections. Now add the fact that there are a lot of hispanic voters in Florida. They have been growing since the 2012 election and many have been registering specifically to vote against Trump. This could make Florida more blue than prior elections. Jeb Bush was a former Florida governor that was well liked. Trump was rotten to Jeb Bush. This could sway older voters that like Jeb Bush and remember him.
 
Old 09-20-2016, 02:34 PM
 
12,547 posts, read 9,941,358 times
Reputation: 6927
538 now-cast has Trump at 48% to win!!!!!

I feel like Trump nation is on a boat caught in the storm. We are almost over the huge 100ft wave that's stopping us from making America great again.
 
Old 09-20-2016, 02:44 PM
 
Location: Florida
23,795 posts, read 13,269,029 times
Reputation: 19952
Quote:
Originally Posted by ColoradoOnMyMind View Post
There is no way Clinton takes Florida, I would wager large amounts of money on it
Better not wager too large. Very few can predict Florida. It is related to turnout and the under-polling of minorities. There will be a rather huge get-out-the-vote effort in the Latino communities.

"...Suffolk University pollster David Paleologos, whose polls are aggregated into mainstream averages to show where the presidential race stands in the swing states, said he’s finished polling in Florida, North Carolina and Virginia because President Obama has no shot of winning those states..."

"...According to the FiveThirtyEight “now-cast” on Friday, Mr. Romney would be a 78 percent favorite to win Florida in an election held today. Projecting forward to Nov. 6 introduces a bit more uncertainty, but he’s now a 69 percent favorite to carry the state on Election Day, according to the model..."


Pollster pulls out of Fla., NC and Va., says Obama can

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes...ncede-florida/

Poll Of Latino Voters In Florida Shows A Disaster In The Making For Donald Trump
 
Old 09-20-2016, 03:56 PM
 
Location: Mount Dora, FL
3,079 posts, read 3,122,354 times
Reputation: 1577
Quote:
Originally Posted by Elliott_CA View Post
This is one of the very best polls, rated A+ by 538. 200 landline and 200 cell phone, adjusted for age, gender, race and party, adjusted to match most recent census data.

If Clinton takes PA and FL it will be a very long night for Trump.
This is great news. She is righting the ship.
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