***National Presidential Polls*** Part III (voters, Reagan, Democrats, Republicans)

[jjrose]

Nope. Hillary is winning in her home state (Illinois) and Trumps home state (NY).

[GearHeadDave]

Originally Posted by johnsonkk

That's why it's surprising that Hillary is losing so bad in Arkansas to Trump. Trump is leading Hillary by over 20 points now.

Actually it's not surprising at all, it fits with Trump's demographic of supporters. Take a look at the education ranking of Arkansas; it's one of of the wort in the nation, along with West Virginia and a few others. You will find that these states are where Trump has the strongest support. Conversely, the states with the best education rankings are all Clinton supporting states. It says something about these two candidates doesn't it?

[atgss]

Originally Posted by Ace Rothstein

And Hillary is crushing Trump in his him home state on New York. Who cares?

She's also beating him in Colorado.

Yes because a good chunk of NY is dem territory.

But I wished that people wouldn't go by the MSM polling which is so inaccurate no matter what who they say is leading.

Sans fraud we'll find out in the ultimate poll called election day imo.

[Butler15]

FiveThirtyEight


Updated 30 min ago:

Polls-only forecast: Clinton 75% chance of winning
Polls-plus forecast: Clinton 71.2% chance of winning
Now-cast: Clinton 81.8% of winning

Those numbers are high! If they're accurate, Clinton will the election.

[sirtiger]

I won't even look at it no matter which way its going. Its crap

[bluesjuke]

It changes all the time and Silver is not always right.
Recently he had Trump up as winning.

[BucFan]

Originally Posted by Butler15

FiveThirtyEight


Updated 30 min ago:

Polls-only forecast: Clinton 75% chance of winning
Polls-plus forecast: Clinton 71.2% chance of winning
Now-cast: Clinton 81.8% of winning

Those numbers are high! If they're accurate, Clinton will the election.

Hard to say. Might be an election showing pollsters to be way off track. According to the posters here, rally size, bumper stickers and yard signs indicate a Trump landslide.

[BentBow]

Originally Posted by Butler15

FiveThirtyEight


Updated 30 min ago:

Polls-only forecast: Clinton 75% chance of winning
Polls-plus forecast: Clinton 71.2% chance of winning
Now-cast: Clinton 81.8% of winning

Those numbers are high! If they're accurate, Clinton will the election.

Trump has to thread the needle. That is why Clinton has a much easier chance in team politics and not idea politics.

[bluesjuke]

Originally Posted by Bitey

It's only surprising to someone who is completely unaware of the contemporary political landscape. Besides which, her home state is Illinois, not Arkansas.

She is a carpetbagger and Arkansas has already had a bad taste of her.

[GotHereQuickAsICould]

Clinton's pulling ahead in North Carolina, Nevada, and Florida.

Iowa and Ohio are on the line.

75% chance of winning the election.

315 EC votes according to 538.

Line graph show her steadily pulling ahead since the debate