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Trump has one final chance on Sunday. Pence's performance and Kaine's creepiness will ease Clinton's rise. If he can perform like he did during the first 30 min of the first debate then the polls will swing back in his favor.
I don't think so.,do you really think that anyone will forget the first debate? I don't think you get a do-over in presidential elections.
I don't think anyone here looks at a single poll, but when you get a large number of polls over a relatively short period of time, you can see a trend and that tells you a whole lot.
As another poster said, it isn't a single poll that people here are watching. Trump is only winning in one poll, and that is the widely discredited LA Times poll. If you take that poll out of the RCP average, Clinton's lead is around five points.
The Gallup Poll you pointed toward was the outlier. Here's a quote from the article you posted:
While most surveys show Obama and Romney locked in a virtual dead heat, Gallup alone finds that the Republican would win by a comfortable margin if the election were held today.
The other two links you posted were discussing polls taken in February! February!
Swiftboating was a new GOP tactic in 2004. 2016 voters are slightly less susceptible.
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I'm not sure that's accurate.
Facebook was launched on February 4, 2004 and I think that was a game changer.
Posts linking to websites like Breitbart, Alex Jones' Infowars, etc. can spread a dishonest, and personal, smear campaign below the radar. By the time it is debunked in the dreaded mainstream media, many are already convinced.
Check out Rush Limbaugh's Facebook page where he posts, among other nonsense, that Trump's vision for America won the vice presidential debate, and that the "economic policies of the last eight years are why Millennials still live at home in their parents in the basement."
Pence denied much of Trump's vision at the debates, and ignoring the financial meltdown during the Bush/Cheney's administration and blaming it all on the economic policies of the last eight years is ludicrous.
Look at the nonsense that people post on this forum. It's a good bet a lot of it was fanned on Facebook.
BTW, when I searched for Limbaugh's FB page, I see that several of my FB friends like his page. Strangely enough, these are the same relatives that post constant nonsense such as Where was Obama during 9/11. Why wasn't he in the WH?
The search also brought up Telling Rush Limbaugh He's Full of Crap page. Several posts had me laughing out loud.
"One day we will hear Donald Trump intensely tell a reporter that he never, never ran for President."
"Why don't I hear the people who spent 8 years demanding my birth certificate asking for Trump's tax returns?
"Where was all this Republican concern for classified information when they literally outed an actual CIA agent?"
" Republican nominee for president Donald J. Trump has caught up with his Democratic rival Hillary R. Clinton, with both garnering 44 percent of the electorate, according to the national Breitbart/Gravis poll conducted Oct. 4 with 1,690 registered voters."
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