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New evening Euro model out (18Z): Has blob trying but failing to fully reorganize just before hitting Puerto Rico, starts to recover late Thursday afterwards, and a VERY tight compact 83mph hurricane riding parallel and just North of the central Bahamas mid-morning Saturday (Evening EURO doesn't go out past Saturday in time, at least on the map I looked at).
Tue 27Aug2019 11pEDT/AST: Dorian overall holding steady, some strengthening before hitting PR expected, newest NHC cone has been shifted North slightly once again and has an intensifying hurricane coming into the US coast somewhere in FL, GA, or SC Sunday or so. High uncertainty in intensity when nearing US with NHC saying tonight " The intensity forecast in 3-5 days remains problematic because of a significant spread in the model guidance and some run-to-run inconsistencies. The official intensity forecast has been increased in comparison to the previous ones. However, it is now near the low end of the numerical guidance suite." So in other words models are ramping up the storm, we'll see what the trend is with that tomorrow.
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