[simonusa3]

Unfortunately we have to wait until a weak area of low pressure to our west moves south of us tonight with frontal passage Monday morning to see full sushine. By late Monday, the system should be out of the Tri-State region as high pressure builds in. So Tuesday and Wed we should see bright sunshine until the front comes through Thur night.

[simonusa3]

Originally Posted by WouldLoveTo

I would be thrilled if it started to get warm in March like it used to.

Actually, our more recent March temps have been warmer than normal. It’s the past that was colder than normal.

At NWS Bridgeport, from 2013 to 2019 each March was below normal except for 2016. Some of those years were really terrible like 2014 and 2015 (6 – 7 F below normal!). It’s only since 2020 that we have seen March return to normal or above normal mean temps. March 2021 was particularly nice: The normal late March high is only 49 – 52 F…yet from the 20th to the end of the month, every single day (with the exception of two days), we had highs from 55 to 79 F.




Hopefully we will keep this streak going this year

[7 Wishes]

Originally Posted by simonusa3

Unfortunately we have to wait until a weak area of low pressure to our west moves south of us tonight with frontal passage Monday morning to see full sushine. By late Monday, the system should be out of the Tri-State region as high pressure builds in. So Tuesday and Wed we should see bright sunshine until the front comes through Thur night.

Just in time to go back to work (sigh!), then possible snow over the weekend (maybe it holds off until Sunday night into Monday?)

Originally Posted by simonusa3

Actually, our more recent March temps have been warmer than normal. It’s the past that was colder than normal.

At NWS Bridgeport, from 2013 to 2019 each March was below normal except for 2016. Some of those years were really terrible like 2014 and 2015 (6 – 7 F below normal!). It’s only since 2020 that we have seen March return to normal or above normal mean temps. March 2021 was particularly nice: The normal late March high is only 49 – 52 F…yet from the 20th to the end of the month, every single day (with the exception of two days), we had highs from 55 to 79 F.




Hopefully we will keep this streak going this year

Recently, Novembers have been below normal more often than not (including our most recent I believe). Historically (but not recently), as in for several decades, at least in Central Park (since we have the before 1948 period to compare to unlike BDR), Septembers and Octobers were actually generally colder than the past at least until the 2010s. For example, 90+ degrees in October occurred in 1927, then in all but one year from 1938 to 1941, but it didn't happen again until 2019.

[7 Wishes]

It's rare I do 2 consecutive seperate posts, but here's something weird and different.


The low at BDR was 27 today. Normally that's not unusual for New Year's Eve, but the lowest the other 5 "major" metro NYC stations (Islip, JFK, LGA, Central Park, and Newark) was 34 at Islip, in fact none of the other 4 got lower than 38. That's still not impossible (but usually happens in a very clear, radiational cooling situation) but when I looked at the hourly readings, the lowest hourly reading was 31. While I know the low temperature sometimes occurs between hourly readings, I think it's unusual for it to drop 4 degrees between hours and recover right away. Also Danbury which usually gets the much colder readings had a low of 36 last night, much much warmer. Just noting.....Danbury was overcast the whole time and Bridgeport had breaks from time to time (or at least that's what they reported), so maybe....

[Cambium]

Originally Posted by 7 Wishes

The low at BDR was 27 today. Normally that's not unusual for New Year's Eve, but the lowest the other 5 "major" metro NYC stations (Islip, JFK, LGA, Central Park, and Newark) was 34 at Islip, in fact none of the other 4 got lower than 38.

12 degrees colder than NYC. Huge.

Waterbury and Meriden dropped to 27. New Haven 29

[BPt111]

I see 10-12” inches of snow

[simonusa3]

Originally Posted by 7 Wishes

Recently, Novembers have been below normal more often than not (including our most recent I believe). Historically (but not recently), as in for several decades, at least in Central Park (since we have the before 1948 period to compare to unlike BDR), Septembers and Octobers were actually generally colder than the past at least until the 2010s. For example, 90+ degrees in October occurred in 1927, then in all but one year from 1938 to 1941, but it didn't happen again until 2019.

I did this chart back in July after we had a hotter than normal July at NWS Bridgeport. You can look at the last 20 years and compare each month with it's NOAA 30 year -normals (1991 - 2020). The biggest thing that I noted, was that the hottest month (July) and the coldest month (January) are not even. We have had 11 of the last 23 January's that were colder than normal (no circle)...while 13 of the last 23 July's were hotter than normal. So at least over the last 20 years, our hottest month has been above normal more often than our coldest month has been below normal.

[Cambium]

Goodbye 2023.

Here are the stats for the 2023. Interesting how Hartford's hottest temp came in April and Bridgeports in September.

Also, Bridgeport had a foot less precip than BDL?? I had 60 inches for the year. Even LaGuardia had 60". BDR must of just missed out on some heavy events.

[Cambium]

Sunday January 7, 2024 Storm Update:

NWS Disco

https://www.weather.gov/bgm/productText

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New York NY
928 AM EST Mon Jan 1 2024

Deterministic and ensemble model solutions continue to hint at a potential low pressure next Saturday night and Sunday.

There is low confidence specific detail such as precipitation type at this time due to the system being about a week out.

The latest modeling is beginning to signal a confluent flow over the northeast on Saturday. An amplified southern stream shortwave/low pressure may then approach the Middle Atlantic/northeast for the second half of next weekend. Specific details on timing, intensity, precip types, winds, and precip amounts are unknown given that this is about a week out.

[7 Wishes]

Originally Posted by Cambium

12 degrees colder than NYC. Huge.

Waterbury and Meriden dropped to 27. New Haven 29

I'm more impressed with 9 degrees colder than Danbury.


If New Haven got to 29, then maybe it's believeable. Maybe it was clearer there than everywhere else and more heat radiated or something.