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Remarkable that WI, FL, and PA could flip with Biden in the low 40s. Have to think GOP is going to do all it can to get Adam Laxalt to flip NV, but that still wouldn't be enough.
As they say all politics is LOCAL. Nobody is riding Biden 's, or Trump's, coat tails in November.
So now that the Trump candidates are in trouble, they're reaching out to Mitch McConnell, who Trump hates, to save their campaigns. Even JD Vance in Ohio is getting nervous.
This a +4 Republican district. This should have been a lay up for Republicans in this cycle. Ryan (D) 51.1% vs Molinaro (R) 48.9% District 19 NY. This is a bellwether district. Ryan beat Biden's number in 2020. I'm not seeing a wave here....and if you don't think Roe won't impact these midterms that's just being naive. I still think the GOP will take the House but I am losing conviction in that belief.
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Location: Pine Grove,AL
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JohnBoy64
This a +4 Republican district. This should have been a lay up for Republicans in this cycle. Ryan (D) 51.1% vs Molinaro (R) 48.9% District 19 NY. This is a bellwether district. Ryan beat Biden's number in 2020. I'm not seeing a wave here....and if you don't think Roe won't impact these midterms that's just being naive. I still think the GOP will take the House but I am losing conviction in that belief.
NY 23 is the bigger problem for Republicans. Its a district where Dems havent been trying. So the Dem got 5 points better than any Dem in the last 20 ish years.
Now that the Jan6/Mar Lago Scandal is a total Backfire, we can revisit the false assertions from the OPs OP.
sniffer in chief has been away from the White House 150 days and counting, and gone fishing, or shnifing or whatever he do.
The DNC can blow it out their ears for all we care.
I like our chances.
Tell that to the Republicans like Blake Masters who are turning an about face on abortion now that the polling shows Republicans have stepped on the political third rail. The Dodd ruling has played into Democrat favor despite it overturning Roe. Republicans have overplayed their hand and Democrats have called the bluff. The Senate is nearly a Democratic lock.
Tell that to the Republicans like Blake Masters who are turning an about face on abortion now that the polling shows Republicans have stepped on the political third rail. The Dodd ruling has played into Democrat favor despite it overturning Roe. Republicans have overplayed their hand and Democrats have called the bluff. The Senate is nearly a Democratic lock.
Agreed. Pre-Dobbs, I would've said the Democrats might expand their Senate holding by 1 (for 51 seats). Post-Dobbs, I'm thinking 53 is possible now.
Pre-Dobbs, I figured the House was *way* lost, by wide margins. Post-Dobbs...I still think it's likely the Republicans will take it, but it'll be by razor-thin margins if they do, and whoever gets the gavel better pray they have Nancy Pelosi's talent for herding cats.
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Nobody is riding Biden 's, or Trump's, coat tails in November.
