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View Poll Results: Are you happy with Trump’s deal to reopen the Federal government for 3 weeks?
I’m happy with the deal 41 36.61%
It’s ok 50 44.64%
I’m unhappy with this deal 21 18.75%
Voters: 112. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 01-17-2019, 12:10 PM
 
Location: Tri STATE!!!
8,518 posts, read 3,759,611 times
Reputation: 6349

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What's next? 10 billion for the Moat? 20 billion for boiling oil defense? Listen to yourselves. It's 2019....... This Fugasi president has reduced the American people to blathering idiots.........
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Old 01-17-2019, 12:13 PM
 
Location: Tri STATE!!!
8,518 posts, read 3,759,611 times
Reputation: 6349
Quote:
Originally Posted by oceangaia View Post
Maybe so but more likely imo is that if Trump presented such a study we would just see organized propaganda alleging the study wasn't really independent because one of the researchers had a grandson that used to work for Trump, or that it didn't say specifically what kind of concrete or who would be the manufacturer, or that it only looked at 20' and 25' walls and overlooked 22' walls.

On what are you basing your opinion that "it won't be all that effective"? The actual stats where substantial barriers have been erected all show that illegal apprehensions are way down. Do you have any case examples where a wall was actually built and it was shown statistically to be ineffective?
I'm sure parapets and dragons are effective as well .... It's 2019. I think we can come up with a better way to control immigration than a no show mafiosos wet dream construction project.....
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Old 01-17-2019, 12:15 PM
 
46,311 posts, read 27,124,387 times
Reputation: 11134
Quote:
Originally Posted by AfriqueNY View Post
I'm sure parapets and dragons are effective as well .... It's 2019. I think we can come up with a better way to control immigration than a no show mafiosos wet dream construction project.....

I'll just leave this here, since it's obvious that you know better then them dam people on the border patrolling.....


Quote:
The Bottom Line: Walls Work. When it comes to stopping drugs and illegal aliens from crossing our borders, border walls have proven to be extremely effective. Border security relies on a combination of border infrastructure, technology, personnel and partnerships with law enforcement at the state, local, tribal, and federal level. For example, when we installed a border wall in the Yuma Sector, we have seen border apprehensions decrease by 90 percent. In San Diego, we saw on Sunday that dilapidated, decades-old barriers are not sufficient for today’s threat and need to be removed so new – up to 30 foot wall sections can be completed.



https://www.dhs.gov/news/2018/12/12/walls-work
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Old 01-17-2019, 12:23 PM
 
9,254 posts, read 3,590,300 times
Reputation: 4852
Quote:
Originally Posted by oceangaia View Post
Maybe so but more likely imo is that if Trump presented such a study we would just see organized propaganda alleging the study wasn't really independent because one of the researchers had a grandson that used to work for Trump, or that it didn't say specifically what kind of concrete or who would be the manufacturer, or that it only looked at 20' and 25' walls and overlooked 22' walls.
Maybe, maybe not. I can't opine on the validity of an attack on a non-existent study. If Trump wants a wall, step one should be "here is my plan, and here is a study showing it will work and be cost-effective" rather than "give me $5.7 billion and I'll tell you what I did with it later."

Quote:
On what are you basing your opinion that "it won't be all that effective"? The actual stats where substantial barriers have been erected all show that illegal apprehensions are way down. Do you have any case examples where a wall was actually built and it was shown statistically to be ineffective?
The wall won't affect asylum seekers or visa overstayers and they make up the overwhelming majority of illegal immigrants. The wall won't stop all of those who cross the Southern border in places other than ports of entry. So now you're talking about stopping a fraction of less than half of illegal immigrants (whose numbers continue to get smaller even without the wall)... starting a decade or so from now when the eminent domain cases are completed and the wall actually built. That doesn't sound so great to me.
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Old 01-17-2019, 12:27 PM
 
Location: Tri STATE!!!
8,518 posts, read 3,759,611 times
Reputation: 6349
[quote=chucksnee;54174611]I'll just leave this here, since it's obvious that you know better then them dam people on the border patrolling.....

See the comment below yours ......
All the immigrants I know of flew here
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Old 01-17-2019, 12:39 PM
 
46,311 posts, read 27,124,387 times
Reputation: 11134
[quote=AfriqueNY;54174734]
Quote:
Originally Posted by chucksnee View Post
I'll just leave this here, since it's obvious that you know better then them dam people on the border patrolling.....

See the comment below yours ......
All the immigrants I know of flew here

You are being lied to.....


FY19 October and November well over 100k...were caught....at the border.....




https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/sw-border-migration
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Old 01-17-2019, 12:55 PM
 
23,177 posts, read 12,231,255 times
Reputation: 29354
Quote:
Originally Posted by AfriqueNY View Post
I'm sure parapets and dragons are effective as well .... It's 2019. I think we can come up with a better way to control immigration than a no show mafiosos wet dream construction project.....

There isn't a "better way" being offered as an alternative choice. There has been plenty of time for those "better ways" to be implemented. The time for talking is over, now is time to start taking action. The Democratic House isn't proposing any of those "better ways" as an alternative option to the wall because they want to maintain the status quo of doing nothing.
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Old 01-17-2019, 01:05 PM
 
23,177 posts, read 12,231,255 times
Reputation: 29354
Quote:
Originally Posted by TEPLimey View Post
Maybe, maybe not. I can't opine on the validity of an attack on a non-existent study. If Trump wants a wall, step one should be "here is my plan, and here is a study showing it will work and be cost-effective" rather than "give me $5.7 billion and I'll tell you what I did with it later."

The wall won't affect asylum seekers or visa overstayers and they make up the overwhelming majority of illegal immigrants. The wall won't stop all of those who cross the Southern border in places other than ports of entry. So now you're talking about stopping a fraction of less than half of illegal immigrants (whose numbers continue to get smaller even without the wall)... starting a decade or so from now when the eminent domain cases are completed and the wall actually built. That doesn't sound so great to me.

Seriously? Why must you lie? Is your username pronounced "TEP Lie to Me"?


Lie #1. Overwhelming? In recent years, overstays have exceeded illegal crossings by a few percentage points while the overall illegal population remains mostly illegal crossers. There is no "overwhelming" here in any direction.
"In 2014, about 4.5 million US residents, or 42 percent of the total undocumented population, were overstays." Note this is from an anti-wall source. http://cmsny.org/publications/jmhs-v...s-border-wall/


Lie #2. Continue to get smaller? I've posted the stats multiple times. The number was 340,000 in 2011. If it was continuing to get smaller we would be below 200,000 by now yet the number was 400,000 last year. And the numbers for the first two months of fy2019 are over 50,000 per month which extrapolates to 600,000 for a year. That is not "getting smaller".

The wall won't stop overstays. So friggin what? We have multiple problems that require multiple solutions. The time is past for playing one against the other to achieve inaction on all of them.
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Old 01-17-2019, 01:11 PM
 
Location: Living rent free in your head
42,850 posts, read 26,301,017 times
Reputation: 34059
Quote:
Originally Posted by oceangaia View Post
Seriously? Why must you lie? Is your username pronounced "TEP Lie to Me"?


Lie #1. Overwhelming? In recent years, overstays have exceeded illegal crossings by a few percentage points while the overall illegal population remains mostly illegal crossers. There is no "overwhelming" here in any direction.


Lie #2. Continue to get smaller? I've posted the stats multiple times. The number was 340,000 in 2011. If it was continuing to get smaller we would be below 200,000 by now yet the number was 400,000 last year. And the numbers for the first two months of fy2019 are over 50,000 per month which extrapolates to 600,000 for a year. That is not "getting smaller".



The wall won't stop overstays. So friggin what? We have multiple problems that require multiple solutions. The time is past for playing one against the other to achieve inaction on all of them.
Quit cherry picking...you use 2011 because it's an outlier, I called you on it once but you just blow it off and keep referring to it as though it 'makes your case'. And you can't extrapolate 2 months from fiscal year 2019 and use it for anything unless you can demonstrate that in those two months in a majority of previous years had a proportionately smaller number.

The only border crisis is the one in the mind of Trump and his snowflake followers
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Old 01-17-2019, 01:18 PM
 
23,177 posts, read 12,231,255 times
Reputation: 29354
Quote:
Originally Posted by 2sleepy View Post
Quit cherry picking...you use 2011 because it's an outlier, I called you on it once but you just blow it off and keep referring to it as though it 'makes your case'. And you can't extrapolate 2 months from fiscal year 2019 and use it for anything unless you can demonstrate that in those two months in a majority of previous years had a proportionately smaller number.

The only border crisis is the one in the mind of Trump and his snowflake followers

So use 364,000 in 2012. It's not an outlier. It shows that the numbers are not "continuing" to decline but have remained fairly stable since a decline in the 2006-2009 period.


I certainly can extrapolate the first two months. But as you requested, the monthly totals from 2014 (which I think is the year you wanted to pick).


35,915
32,432
29,979
29,233
36,933
50,168
52,061
61,357
58,613
41,350
32,099
26,511
486,650


Or maybe 2013.
29,577
28,133
23,680
27,317
35,504
47,838
48,697
44,248
34,953
33,884
34,482
32,476
420,789


2012?
26,397
24,182
19,520
26,319
32,152
42,823
41,218
37,596
31,310
27,724
28,176
27,351
364,768


Maybe 2011?
27,535
23,553
20,349
25,045
29,778
43,246
37,183
32,207
28,097
24,162
25,264
23,833
340,252

Is there any doubt still in your mind that illegal immigration the first two months of fy2019 is way above normal?


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