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Old 01-17-2024, 04:49 PM
 
30,424 posts, read 21,228,470 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by simonusa3 View Post
The new 6 to 10 is out...it looks like much of the USA mainland will see above normal temps (if this is correct?):









and precip:



Once we get near Feb it is over for FL with 90's coming back.
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Old 01-17-2024, 04:50 PM
 
30,424 posts, read 21,228,470 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post
The rest of the year for FL.
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Old 01-17-2024, 06:44 PM
 
120 posts, read 75,426 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BullochResident View Post
Quote:
Originally Posted by Can't think of username View Post
Thanks, it's time to get my popcorn out.
Other than one or two posts, most of that thread actually looks pretty tame — mostly discussion of forecasted lows, as well as model outputs. Speaking of models, I was glad to see more discussion regarding the ICON — that weather model is very underrated on wx discussions across forums, social media, etc compared to GFS/GEFS and EURO/EPS.
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Old 01-17-2024, 06:49 PM
 
120 posts, read 75,426 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BullochResident View Post
Texas has no water to the north of it to moderate any blasts coming down from the upper midwest and Canada.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Can't think of username View Post
I've also heard it said that it's because of the lack of the protection of the Appalachians (like South Carolina and Georgia at similar latitudes to Texas have), and being more directly in the path of the cold fronts thanks to being centrally located longitude-wise by North America standards. Fascinating to think about.
But if the Appalachians were the only factor regarding the outcomes of these cold outbreaks, then the cold anomalies would be extended not just to Texas, but to all the Southern states west of the immediate Eastern Seabord — so Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Tennessee, etc.
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Old 01-17-2024, 07:16 PM
 
2,819 posts, read 1,407,410 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kemakai View Post
But if the Appalachians were the only factor regarding the outcomes of these cold outbreaks, then the cold anomalies would be extended not just to Texas, but to all the Southern states west of the immediate Eastern Seabord — so Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Tennessee, etc.
Which it has in this case, the bulk of this cold front just sloped down the Appalachians from my interpretation of forecast maps. It's why New Orleans and Mobile/Pensacola were 4-7C colder than Gainesville this morning and why Houston was 5C colder than the Outer Banks (note the latitude difference!).
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Old 01-17-2024, 07:38 PM
 
Location: Alexandria, Louisiana
5,039 posts, read 4,351,834 times
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Got down to 12F this morning! 3F lower than it got during the Dec 2022 event and 1F warmer than Feb 2021. Never got above freezing Monday or Tuesday!

Got up to 41F today but already down to 29F this evening. Supposed to start warming up after midnight due to southerly flow and getting past 60F tomorrow before next strong cold front arrives.
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Old 01-17-2024, 07:49 PM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ral31 View Post
Got down to 12F this morning! 3F lower than it got during the Dec 2022 event and 1F warmer than Feb 2021. Never got above freezing Monday or Tuesday!

Got up to 41F today but already down to 29F this evening. Supposed to start warming up after midnight due to southerly flow and getting past 60F tomorrow before next strong cold front arrives.
Oof, that is 6C colder than the usual of about -5C, it looks like Alexandria was definitely one of the most hard-hit of places.
I assume you enjoyed that and the snow/sleet though? Since your ideal winters are colder and snowier than Alexandria's?
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Old 01-17-2024, 07:49 PM
 
Location: East Coast USA
954 posts, read 318,394 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by LKJ1988 View Post
Once we get near Feb it is over for FL with 90's coming back.
I know it can get hot in the winter in Florida.

However, in the short term (next 8 days) none of the models show temps that hot for Florida or anywhere in the subtropical south. By early next week, seasonable 70's F for Florida...and 65 to 70 for Gulf Coast/lower East Coast. So pretty nice mid winter temps for the deep south:


Attached Thumbnails
Winter 2023-24 (Northern Hemisphere)-fltue.jpg  
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Old 01-17-2024, 07:50 PM
 
Location: Alexandria, Louisiana
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Maybe some drought-busting rainfall next week. High temps here are forecast to be in the 60's much of next week.

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Old 01-17-2024, 08:02 PM
 
Location: Alexandria, Louisiana
5,039 posts, read 4,351,834 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Can't think of username View Post
Oof, that is 6C colder than the usual of about -5C, it looks like Alexandria was definitely one of the most hard-hit of places.
I assume you enjoyed that and the snow/sleet though? Since your ideal winters are colder and snowier than Alexandria's?
Yeah the sleet was nice to see (more than I had anticipated), though not much snow besides some light flurries. Unfortunately haven't had a wintry event with a decent amount of snow since Jan 2018 (the Feb 2021 event was mostly sleet with some snow towards the end).
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