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Old 10-22-2012, 09:29 AM
 
Location: Crooklyn, New York
32,114 posts, read 34,747,185 times
Reputation: 15093

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Quote:
Originally Posted by urbanlife78 View Post
That is usually the best sign that a state isn't in play. I rarely see political ads here in Jersey from either candidate, which is usually a good meter to see which way a state is going, and Oregon is going Blue, no matter how much Ed wishes it was still a Red logging state.
Same goes for PA.

 
Old 10-22-2012, 09:29 AM
 
Location: Waltham, MA
235 posts, read 276,456 times
Reputation: 81
Quote:
Originally Posted by gtc08 View Post
give me a realistic scenario of romney winning with ohio, pa, and michigan going obama. you cant.
Obama needs to win WI and IA or NV along with OH, PA, MI

This is what it looks like >> Map
 
Old 10-22-2012, 09:31 AM
 
Location: Sonoran Desert
39,080 posts, read 51,252,674 times
Reputation: 28328
Quote:
Originally Posted by MA2NC2012 View Post
Obama needs to win WI and IA or NV along with OH, PA, MI

This is what it looks like >> Map
Which he will. He will also win NH. He is 50/50 in CO. If Hispanics show, he wins there too.
 
Old 10-22-2012, 09:31 AM
 
Location: Crooklyn, New York
32,114 posts, read 34,747,185 times
Reputation: 15093
Quote:
Originally Posted by MA2NC2012 View Post
Obama needs to win WI and IA or NV along with OH, PA, MI

This is what it looks like >> Map
I honestly think Virginia is gonna go for Obama. I was there canvassing this past weekend and our GOTV operation is ridiculous.
 
Old 10-22-2012, 09:36 AM
 
Location: Waltham, MA
235 posts, read 276,456 times
Reputation: 81
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ponderosa View Post
Which he will. He will also win NH.
AFAIK, NH is toss up with leaning towards Romney... I know lot of NH guys and it seems like most of them are going Romney way... All said and done, i give it to Romney BUT it can go any way as of now...

The polls are just confusing to me from last 3 weeks cuz of the lead and MOE.. What polls suggest with leads in the range MOE is that they see a lean towards one candidate but its not fore sure??
 
Old 10-22-2012, 09:37 AM
 
Location: Waltham, MA
235 posts, read 276,456 times
Reputation: 81
Quote:
Originally Posted by BajanYankee View Post
I honestly think Virginia is gonna go for Obama. I was there canvassing this past weekend and our GOTV operation is ridiculous.
I have no insights in VA and the polls show otherwise.. So VA is RED in the map....
But all said and done, its a nail bitter..
 
Old 10-22-2012, 09:43 AM
 
Location: Crooklyn, New York
32,114 posts, read 34,747,185 times
Reputation: 15093
Quote:
Originally Posted by MA2NC2012 View Post
I have no insights in VA and the polls show otherwise.. So VA is RED in the map....
But all said and done, its a nail bitter..
Silver puts it at 53.5% Romney. On Friday, it was 51.3% Obama. We have a huge advantage in VR and a bigger GOTV operation than Romney, so I'm fairly optimistic about our chances in the Old Dominion state. Me, my wife and my sister canvassed about 100 houses in Northern Virginia alone. I never realized how diverse that part of the state is. There were a whole lot of Hispanics, a lot of Asians and a lot of Ethiopians. And this wasn't Arlington or Falls Church. This was a good distance south of Lorton.

We don't need Virginia, but it would be a nice back-breaking Touchdown.
 
Old 10-22-2012, 09:49 AM
 
Location: Portland, Oregon
46,001 posts, read 35,198,674 times
Reputation: 7875
Quote:
Originally Posted by BajanYankee View Post
Silver puts it at 53.5% Romney. On Friday, it was 51.3% Obama. We have a huge advantage in VR and a bigger GOTV operation than Romney, so I'm fairly optimistic about our chances in the Old Dominion state. Me, my wife and my sister canvassed about 100 houses in Northern Virginia alone. I never realized how diverse that part of the state is. There were a whole lot of Hispanics, a lot of Asians and a lot of Ethiopians. And this wasn't Arlington or Falls Church. This was a good distance south of Lorton.

We don't need Virginia, but it would be a nice back-breaking Touchdown.
I love seeing that, I like that Northern Virginia is growing and making Virginia more blue, I would love to see Virginia move back to the Democrat side.
 
Old 10-22-2012, 09:53 AM
 
Location: Crooklyn, New York
32,114 posts, read 34,747,185 times
Reputation: 15093
Quote:
Originally Posted by MA2NC2012 View Post
AFAIK, NH is toss up with leaning towards Romney... I know lot of NH guys and it seems like most of them are going Romney way... All said and done, i give it to Romney BUT it can go any way as of now...
Well, FiveThirtyEight has it 63% Obama right now and he has an RCP lead of +2.1. NH is always one of those states that looks iffy for Dems in the run up to Election Day, but then goes blue.
 
Old 10-22-2012, 09:58 AM
 
Location: Crooklyn, New York
32,114 posts, read 34,747,185 times
Reputation: 15093
Quote:
Originally Posted by urbanlife78 View Post
I love seeing that, I like that Northern Virginia is growing and making Virginia more blue, I would love to see Virginia move back to the Democrat side.
Yeah, it was interesting to see. On the one hand, you have these really rural, sparsely populated stretches with a fair number of Romney signs in yards. Then you turn off of the main road and you have these densely populated, townhome subdivisions with younger white families, Hispanics, Asians and some blacks. And those neighborhoods have nothing but Obama signs. The immigrant, transplant population is really drowning out Old Virginny.
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