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Originally Posted by TheDentist
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That part gets really complicated. How consequential is it ?
To make things more confusing, there is a play of words "Russian Soldier" v some-one who serves in the Armed forces of Russian federation.
Actions have reactions in Geo-politics as well as in physics. Crimea's annexation was a direct result of Euro-Maidan.
When Maidan was occurring it was obvious to me that some-one organized and funded it. Putin is saying Obama did it, and the Nuland video I posted before proves that.
After Maidan Russians were told they would loose their lease on Crimea, under the terms of the lease they could legally have 30k troops stationed there (I don't know how many they had actually stationed there, but let's assume 10-15k). Crimea is the home of Russian Black Sea Fleet with like 3 centuries of military traditions. Russia was not going to loose Crimea without a fight.
At the time of Maidan, Crimea being an autonomy of Ukraine, order were given to secure the area. Ensuring that Maidan violence does not spread there. People who are legally authorized to give orders like that is Crimean government. Since these orders where common sense orders, I don't see the benefit of conspiracy theory stipulations.
At the time of Crimean referendum, most people were for joining Russia. That I believe to be true. If you think about Russian Patriotism, then that's reason enough to join Russia , but joining Russia offers protections from Maidan mobs and a better standard of living. Government benefits like pensions were 3 times in Russia then what Ukraine paid out, now Ukrainian currency is devalued so that gap is significantly more.
What Putin is doing right now is taking credit for everything that went right in Ukraine. He has to answer to the Russian people for the economic crisis, so He is saying that he did not anticipate the sanctions, rather he said "he underestimated Obama's influence over EU" in regards to those sanctions.
So he is taking credit for winning the Crimea back for his voters. HE is saying "it was MY plan all alone" And everything worked out as I planned, except for the sanctions and dropping Oil prices...
Oil Prices don't seem to be going up, stock at 45, I keep buying the cheap OIL thinking I could make some money by end of 2015. I should really stop buying OIL, and find better investments.